[Cambium]

Originally Posted by Mike 75

So that's why last summer seemed so cool.

If you're asking, "how was summer so warm then" ...

1. Re-read.."last" time it was this negative, didnt say all summer.. It was a quick dip.

2. While the NAO does reflect temperature and snowfall, NAO is NOT the only ingrediant. (ask to elaborate)

3. The way it setup, North of CT stayed colder than normal for that dip. Worcester, MA temps were in the 70s and 60s for highs IN AUGUST around the time NAO was negative! Then 11th to 16th Hartford Was below normal only got to 70 a few times, so it was reflected off the NAO that was coming out of being negative.

[7 Wishes]

I wonder if the NWS is trusting the GFS as I noticed the temperature forecasts for this weekend/next week have been scaled back, mostly showing temperatures near 80 as opposed to near 90. Weather Channel even shows 70s until midweek. Though Accu-Weather is showing near 90 for late next week into the following weekend.

[Mike 75]

Originally Posted by Cambium

If you're asking, "how was summer so warm then" ...

1. Re-read.."last" time it was this negative, didnt say all summer.. It was a quick dip.

2. While the NAO does reflect temperature and snowfall, NAO is NOT the only ingrediant. (ask to elaborate)

3. The way it setup, North of CT stayed colder than normal for that dip. Worcester, MA temps were in the 70s and 60s for highs IN AUGUST around the time NAO was negative! Then 11th to 16th Hartford Was below normal only got to 70 a few times, so it was reflected off the NAO that was coming out of being negative.

Thanks for the clarification. I just remember that the summer of 2011 seemed cooler than the summer of 2010. Other than that one really hot day where Metro North had all the issues with the heat, I don't recall any real heat waves in 2011. 2010 seemed like it was 90 degrees from April on. I know average temperatures may say differently, but to me there is little difference between an average temp of 72 to 75. The extremes (i.e. the 90+ degree days) are what I remember.

[andthentherewere3]

I remember 3 or 4 days last summer that reached 103/104 here in Ct. That was too much of a good thing even for me.

[7 Wishes]

Now even Accu-Weather has backed off on the 90s.....maybe we finally have that elusive "below normal" month after all.....

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Now even Accu-Weather has backed off on the 90s.....maybe we finally have that elusive "below normal" month after all.....

Yup.. Lets Bow to the GFS if this does happen. It never budged even with the pressure of noaa and other models showing Heat building in. Here's the surface map for Monday...if this plays out it will be the reason for the tammed temps.. 90 can still happen locally but more likely going to be upper 70s.

This is Mondays surface map.. The High pressure over maine will be the reason...

[Cambium]

Here are the records for 4th, 5th, & 6th showing the record low max for CT.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by andthentherewere3

I remember 3 or 4 days last summer that reached 103/104 here in Ct. That was too much of a good thing even for me.

yup.. Hit 103 July 22 in Bridgeport BDR... 23rd was another hot one.
https://www.city-data.com/forum/20132243-post2617.html

Records for that period.
https://www.city-data.com/forum/20192265-post2646.html

[7 Wishes]

Those stations must have a "short" record, only Newark among the main "metro NY area" stations have any daily record lows above 60 and they're all in mid-late July, certainly not June (and with a longer record they probably wouldn't as well as Central Park has a few "59" record lows in that part of the year).

The 103 in Bridgeport tied their ALL-TIME record high, set ironically on the same exact date in 1957. Newark hit an incredible 108 that day, breaking both a bunch of 105's that were it's previous all-time high and making for the hottest ever tri-state area temperature (previously 107 at LaGuardia on July 3, 1966......my wife was an infant that day and her parents claim they spent the night sleeping camped out on Orchard Beach in the Bronx as they had no power that night (I can't imagine people doing that now though)).

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

The 103 in Bridgeport tied their ALL-TIME record high, set ironically on the same exact date in 1957. Newark hit an incredible 108 that day, breaking both a bunch of 105's that were it's previous all-time high and making for the hottest ever tri-state area temperature (previously 107 at LaGuardia on July 3, 1966.).

I believe New Haven bridge was closed down due to heat stress? Something about a closure I remember. Last year was hot but not as hot as 2010. I might be wrong this year and we have a cool summer.

Pop up storms today again...Seems like the theme of the past 2 weeks.
Most of the threat will be north of the state but that could change.