01-19-2011, 08:16 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Have you guys ever had a storm where they forecasted 2-4 inches and you ended up getting 6-8 inches? Ever wonder why that happens?
01-20-2011, 05:11 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
Have you guys ever had a storm where they forecasted 2-4 inches and you ended up getting 6-8 inches? Ever wonder why that happens?
Numbers up due to the more northerly track its taking.. Enjoy and be safe folks.
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/StormTotalPrecip/StormTotalSnowFcst.png (broken link)
01-20-2011, 07:11 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Parts of MO getting 9 inches out of this storm due to the high snow ratios.Dont be suprised if parts of Northern Middlesex, SouthEast Hartford county, Tolland and Windham counties see over half foot out of this..
01-20-2011, 08:40 AM
Location: USA East Coast
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Reputation: 2157
Right now the area of low pressure looks like it’s moving more north than east to me... and its looking pretty weak and moisture starved. The flow is really fast over the CONUS…so this thing will be a very quick mover (and a bit moisture starved). I really think most of Connecticut will get only 2 to 4 inches of snow, maybe 3 to 5 in a few spots. By this weekend it will turn colder. The good news is it looks like strong high pressure builds into southeast Canada, by late Monday - so the return flow will be off the ocean again…and temps across the Tri-State will moderate into the 35 F range and the snow melting will resume.
I mentioned the flood potential in the Tri-State area a while back. We have been lucky that the last warm up was modest and the rain was light. However, we could have another flood threat this coming Wed (Jan 23rd)…as a deep neg tilted trough looks like it might set up just west of the East Coast and low pressure tries to ride up the Atlantic coastal plain bringing heavy rain and temps near 50 F with a rapid snow melt across the Tri-State area. So we’ll have to watch what happens in the middle of next week, and see how this develops.
For those tracking the building solar angle…here is an interesting chart/site. It shows how we keep gaining more and more daylight (and solar power) each day. Using New Haven, Ct as the example…by tomorrow there will be 2 minutes more daylight than today…one week from now there will be 13 minutes more daylight than today…one month from now, there will be 1 hr and 9 minutes more daylight than today…and it just keeps going up and up.
New Haven, Connecticut - Sunrise, sunset, dawn and dusk times for the whole year - Gaisma
01-20-2011, 08:59 AM
10,007 posts, read
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
Thats true..you guys are battle hardened now.. Just think this one is more in the 3-6 range for CT ..we'll see. I'm Flying up there Saturday , leaving Tuesday..worried about the 25th..that looks to be a developing situation now. Hopefully holds off till the 26th.
Wow..that guy is gonna hit the forecast right on the head! But..i don't even look at the models
01-20-2011, 09:03 AM
10,007 posts, read
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wavehunter007
Right now the area of low pressure looks like it’s moving more north than east to me... and its looking pretty weak and moisture starved. The flow is really fast over the CONUS…so this thing will be a very quick mover (and a bit moisture starved). I really think most of Connecticut will get only 2 to 4 inches of snow, maybe 3 to 5 in a few spots. By this weekend it will turn colder. The good news is it looks like strong high pressure builds into southeast Canada, by late Monday - so the return flow will be off the ocean again…and temps across the Tri-State will moderate into the 35 F range and the snow melting will resume.
I mentioned the flood potential in the Tri-State area a while back. We have been lucky that the last warm up was modest and the rain was light. However, we could have another flood threat this coming Wed (Jan 23rd)…as a deep neg tilted trough looks like it might set up just west of the East Coast and low pressure tries to ride up the Atlantic coastal plain bringing heavy rain and temps near 50 F with a rapid snow melt across the Tri-State area. So we’ll have to watch what happens in the middle of next week, and see how this develops.
For those tracking the building solar angle…here is an interesting chart/site. It shows how we keep gaining more and more daylight (and solar power) each day. Using New Haven, Ct as the example…by tomorrow there will be 2 minutes more daylight than today…one week from now there will be 13 minutes more daylight than today…one month from now, there will be 1 hr and 9 minutes more daylight than today…and it just keeps going up and up.
New Haven, Connecticut - Sunrise, sunset, dawn and dusk times for the whole year - Gaisma
This is so funny. Wavehunter picked the one model (ECMWF) that shows the warm scenario. While I'm sure Cambium will come back with a model (GFS) that shows a snow scenario....HEAT AND SNOW MISER!!!!!!!!! I love it.
01-20-2011, 09:43 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read
75,252,292 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
Have you guys ever had a storm where they forecasted 2-4 inches and you ended up getting 6-8 inches? Ever wonder why that happens?
Dont be suprised guys if the numbers are doubled from the 2-4" they talked about yesterday..
01-20-2011, 10:16 AM
Location: USA East Coast
4,429 posts, read
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Reputation: 2157
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
This is so funny. Wavehunter picked the one model (ECMWF) that shows the warm scenario. While I'm sure Cambium will come back with a model (GFS) that shows a snow scenario....HEAT AND SNOW MISER!!!!!!!!! I love it.
I hope you are including yourself in the snow miser category too…
I guess I just try to balance out the
pro-cold/snow bias of many others have…
01-20-2011, 10:35 AM
10,007 posts, read
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wavehunter007
I hope you are including yourself in the snow miser category too…
I guess I just try to balance out the
pro-cold/snow bias of many others have…
True..but I am no Cambium
01-20-2011, 10:52 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read
75,252,292 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wavehunter007
Since your using New Haven, CT.... Here's the difference between us.... Statistical vs Reality.
Statistically, you're right. Reality, I'm right... We're below average, we been below average and we're going to get worse.
Currently Average Low is 18, Average High is 36 .
1st pic shows the averages...2nd pic shows "actual", "reality" temps. Doesn't matter whats happened in the past, What matters is now. And now will be FRIDGID no matter the time, angle, ocean color, ect.
AND THATS WITHOUT THE WIND. The real feel will be below Zero!
Last edited by Cambium; 01-20-2011 at 11:05 AM ..
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Residents speaking Spanish at home (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Foreign born (%)
Residents speaking other language at home (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Foreign born (%)
Class of Workers - Employee of private company (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed in own incorporated business (%)
Class of Workers - Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers (%)
Class of Workers - Local government workers (%)
Class of Workers - State government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Federal government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed workers in own not incorporated business and Unpaid family workers (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - No fuel used (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - No fuel used (%)
Armed forces status - In Armed Forces (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Veteran (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Nonveteran (%)
Fatal accidents locations in years 2005-2021
Fatal accidents locations in 2005
Fatal accidents locations in 2006
Fatal accidents locations in 2007
Fatal accidents locations in 2008
Fatal accidents locations in 2009
Fatal accidents locations in 2010
Fatal accidents locations in 2011
Fatal accidents locations in 2012
Fatal accidents locations in 2013
Fatal accidents locations in 2014
Fatal accidents locations in 2015
Fatal accidents locations in 2016
Fatal accidents locations in 2017
Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)
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