01-18-2011, 06:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
kidyankee764
Do you have any scientific information to back this up? I only ask because every post of yours in here is inciting an argument.
Isn't THIS inciting an argument??? And for the record..i see the same models Cambium sees.. I just read em in an unbiased manner.
01-18-2011, 06:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
Isn't THIS inciting an argument???
It's being honest.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
And for the record..i see the same models Cambium sees.. I just read em in an unbiased manner.
By your posts, I can't conclude that you're reading anything. I only see you going against anything Cambium says 100% of the time. Perhaps some references next time would help your case.
01-18-2011, 07:03 PM
Location: North Western NJ
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especially given cam has been spot on at least for my zip (if not even a little conservative on the last snow storm before todays mess) for each of the ones that has come through...so...yeah lol
01-18-2011, 07:04 PM
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
kidyankee764
It's being honest.
By your posts, I can't conclude that you're reading anything. I only see you going against anything Cambium says 100% of the time. Perhaps some references next time would help your case.
Not true..Cambium NAILED the last storm..and if I didnt give him credit I should have..However he is WAY to quick to get on the snow wagon and I sometimes point that out.
01-18-2011, 07:09 PM
Location: USA East Coast
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
I honestly dont think I ever went over in my thinking of accumulations...Someone correct me if I am wrong... I stay pretty conservative..weather changes every minute, stay tuned.
Well that is good to see…grasshopper! You stand against some stiff winds if you try not to hype winter weather on the East Coast. The biggest problem these days is that many of the sources for weather ( AccuWeather, the Weather Channel, Gil Simmons at Channel 8…etc)…
are huge winter fans themselves. Consider the squabble now that Geoff Fox is gone from Channel 8:
Most people don’t realize that the
real tragedy of GF leaving Channel 8 (from the perspective of the viewing public) is that Geoff Fox was
NOT a winter fan. So unlike people like Gil Simmons, Dr. Mel, Brad Fields…etc … Geoff
was not always spinning/hyping the coldest side of the forecast…trying to play down any chance of warm weather… gerrymandering his roundup of state wide snow totals/low temps…etc. Take the 12 noon Channel 8 News today: By 12:00 many areas of the state were well above freezing and it was just raining (it was 42 F in New Haven at noon)….yet Channel 8 in their typical absurd dramatic fashion, had “Glacier Gil” driving the “Mobile Weather Lab “ in the highest elevations of western Connecticut (shouting at us that the temp is still a “bitter 27 F”) trying to find a flake of snow (lol). Gil is the same guy who starts to try to spin the chance of snowstorms in the Tri-State area in October or tries to keep the winter hype going after early March. I once saw Gil do a long post about the upcoming winter season …in July when it was in the middle 90’s
As to the Friday storm: I think the low will spin out just to the south of Long Island…so expect 4 to 8 inches of snow state wide. It will turn colder this weekend and into next week but should stay sunny and dry. Most forecasts/models are now jumping on western Canada warming up and eastern Canada cooling down (finally!). Most people might not realize that much of Quebec has had
near record warmth since December (the block sent the cold air south into the central/eastern USA – instead of through Quebec as it would normally). So the western USA will see above normal temps as January comes to a close and we move into Feb. To me this means the block over eastern Quebec will be weakening as we move into late winter...so perhaps late winter will see temps closer to normal (maybe even above) instead of colder than normal like we have seen in early winter. Almost every single NWS reporting station in the USA had a colder than normal December and January has been colder than normal (though not as much as December). So the block is weakening.
Last edited by wavehunter007; 01-18-2011 at 07:17 PM ..
01-18-2011, 07:39 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
Not true..Cambium NAILED the last storm..and if I didnt give him credit I should have..However he is WAY to quick to get on the snow wagon and I sometimes point that out.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
And for the record..i see the same models Cambium sees.. I just read em in an unbiased manner.
Calling your bluff... Tell me what the very latest model says as of 9:30pm. I say what I see, I dont say what I feel.
01-18-2011, 07:54 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read
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Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
Calling your bluff... Tell me what the very latest model says as of 9:30pm. I say what I see, I dont say what I feel.
Times up but still calling your bluff because you never post any models or mention any models, you're more fascinated on the posts of just 2 members here.
LATEST MODEL That just came out is OTS, went too far south and has no energy with it, Not even new England gets much... generally 1-3 inches everywhere on this run...
Stay Tuned.
So now we have
3 models - Heavy snow CT
1 model - nothing in CT
2 models - light snow in CT
and we're only 3 days away...lol ... I will give my personal thoughts in the morning.
01-18-2011, 09:05 PM
10,007 posts, read
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
Times up but still calling your bluff because you never post any models or mention any models, you're more fascinated on the posts of just 2 members here.
No big storm Friday....3-5 tops..I'm stickin with what I'm seein...
01-19-2011, 04:19 AM
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,294 posts, read
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
No big storm Friday....3-5 tops..I'm stickin with what I'm seein...
NWS is hedging it's bets and saying dusting-3" with it ending Friday morn.
01-19-2011, 05:11 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
No big storm Friday....3-5 tops..I'm stickin with what I'm seein...
Best laugh of the day...I'd love to know what your "seein". Mirror?
edit: now I know why its easy for someone to point out when nothing happens and stay silent when something does happen.
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Residents speaking other language at home (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Foreign born (%)
Class of Workers - Employee of private company (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed in own incorporated business (%)
Class of Workers - Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers (%)
Class of Workers - Local government workers (%)
Class of Workers - State government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Federal government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed workers in own not incorporated business and Unpaid family workers (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - No fuel used (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - No fuel used (%)
Armed forces status - In Armed Forces (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Veteran (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Nonveteran (%)
Fatal accidents locations in years 2005-2021
Fatal accidents locations in 2005
Fatal accidents locations in 2006
Fatal accidents locations in 2007
Fatal accidents locations in 2008
Fatal accidents locations in 2009
Fatal accidents locations in 2010
Fatal accidents locations in 2011
Fatal accidents locations in 2012
Fatal accidents locations in 2013
Fatal accidents locations in 2014
Fatal accidents locations in 2015
Fatal accidents locations in 2016
Fatal accidents locations in 2017
Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)
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