[Cambium]

Originally Posted by jp03

Cold air mass next week to start..impressive.

Yup.. The change is real. We will warm up after that Arctic blast but to seasonable. No more well above normal. Goodbye. And whats happening is these Arctic invasions will happen more often and last longer than the seasonable days.

The vortex is NOT in Quebec yet. Could be in few weeks.


https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...62093768200192

[Cambium]

Jet finally dipping. Baby steps.

FYI... storms always ride with the Jet. #Coastals

https://twitter.com/6abcadamjoseph/s...70428768686080

[jp03]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Yup.. The change is real. We will warm up after that Arctic blast but to seasonable. No more well above normal. Goodbye. And whats happening is these Arctic invasions will happen more often and last longer than the seasonable days.

The vortex is NOT in Quebec yet. Could be in few weeks.


https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...62093768200192

Most impressive thing is that long term continues to lower next weekends highs.

[RunD1987]

Specifically, the more "blocked up" the upper-level flow is in the higher latitudes, the more likely cold air is going to be forced south into the U.S. The stronger and more persistent the blocking, the longer the cold air will stick around.

Crawford said whether the colder East pattern relents later in January is uncertain, as upper-atmospheric blocking, such as is forecast for mid-January, often lasts longer than numerical models suggest.

"It would not surprise us if the second half of the month was quite cold across much of the East, and there are clearly cold risks to our forecast."

(MORE:*Warmest December on Record For Hundreds of Cities)

Beyond January, the basic warmer-than-average North, but colder-than-average South outlook still holds.

In a typical strong El Niño winter, a warm South in December eventually transitions to a colder-than-normal January, February and March, while the northern tier of states remains relatively mild, by winter standards.

What do they mean by blocking?

[Cambium]

Dont forget.. wind chills... Below zero

Welcome Back.

#SystemShock

[KEVIN_224]

Definitely had a snow shower tonight in Springfield, MA. An auto dealer's lot (Balise?) had a thick coating on all their vehicles.

[Cambium]

I bet you all hope the scenario of the latest Canadian model is right. lol


Looks like Storm Sat Jan 9th & Storm Tues Jan 12th

[jp03]

Originally Posted by Cambium

I bet you all hope the scenario of the latest Canadian model is right. lol


Looks like Storm Sat Jan 9th & Storm Tues Jan 12th

Canadian model seems to be the king of the overblown snow accumulation every storm....I call it the fun to look at model but don't touch.

[7 Wishes]

A Central Park weather blog I follow that gets into a lot of obscure details finally commented on last month and noted the following (probably applies to BDL and BDR as well in some extrapolated way so that's why I'm noting it, maybe someone can look it up):

- Biggest margin ever that a previous warmest OR coldest month was toppled (i.e. it beat the old record by 6.7 degrees.....previous record was 2.8 degrees when Feb. 1934 was that much COLDER than Feb. 1899.....I did do a little digging and the record for most that a "warmest" month beat before that was March 1945's 51.1 which beat March 1921's 48.4 by 2.7 degrees)

- Only 2nd time that a month was more than 10 degrees above normal (this blog confirmed my suspicion that the previous record was January 1932 which it was was 10.1 above, NOT the 8.7 above that March 1945 was)

- First time ever in ANY month that EVERY day of the month was above normal (I believe I've read elsewherebut cannot confirm that February 1934 had every day BELOW normal.....blog notes and I know for a fact that in December 1989 every day except New Year's Eve was below normal).

- First time in December that NO low was below freezing (and since the lowest temp in November was 32, currently the latest in the winter of the first below 32 temperature, though that should end in the next day or two).

- Christmas Eve averaged out 33 degrees above normal, an all time record (previous record was 31 above on January 6, 2007.....high was 72 that day)


He did not mention "you know what" (when he does mention it he kind of has my "mixed" view on it) and simply called it "El Nino on steroids".

[jp03]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

A Central Park weather blog I follow that gets into a lot of obscure details finally commented on last month and noted the following (probably applies to BDL and BDR as well in some extrapolated way so that's why I'm noting it, maybe someone can look it up):

- Biggest margin ever that a previous warmest OR coldest month was toppled (i.e. it beat the old record by 6.7 degrees.....previous record was 2.8 degrees when Feb. 1934 was that much COLDER than Feb. 1899.....I did do a little digging and the record for most that a "warmest" month beat before that was March 1945's 51.1 which beat March 1921's 48.4 by 2.7 degrees)

- Only 2nd time that a month was more than 10 degrees above normal (this blog confirmed my suspicion that the previous record was January 1932 which it was was 10.1 above, NOT the 8.7 above that March 1945 was)

- First time ever in ANY month that EVERY day of the month was above normal (I believe I've read elsewherebut cannot confirm that February 1934 had every day BELOW normal.....blog notes and I know for a fact that in December 1989 every day except New Year's Eve was below normal).

- First time in December that NO low was below freezing (and since the lowest temp in November was 32, currently the latest in the winter of the first below 32 temperature, though that should end in the next day or two).

- Christmas Eve averaged out 33 degrees above normal, an all time record (previous record was 31 above on January 6, 2007.....high was 72 that day)


He did not mention "you know what" (when he does mention it he kind of has my "mixed" view on it) and simply called it "El Nino on steroids".

Thanks...Incredible stuff really. Now hopefully we settle into a cold 2 months with a few snowstorms ..then warm it up.