10-18-2012, 08:37 AM
Location: Woburn, MA / W. Hartford, CT
6,132 posts, read
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Reputation: 4122
Hoping for some of that rapid warming up here today, so that I can leave work early and squeeze in some biking. Not a lot of days left!
10-18-2012, 09:41 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read
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Reputation: 16620
Quote:
Originally Posted by
rajmelk
Hoping for some of that rapid warming up here today, so that I can leave work early and squeeze in some biking. Not a lot of days left!
It's already into the 60s before lunchtime. I dont see major cold spells for another 2 weeks. Still thinking 70s next week for a day at least.
10-18-2012, 11:25 AM
1,344 posts, read
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Reputation: 1750
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
How cool is this??????? From Upton. Check out the increase in temp within 26 seconds of the Balloon rising."Are you familiar with a temperature inversion? A temperature inversion is when there is an increase in temperature with height. Typically, the temperature decreases with height in the troposphere (layer of the atmosphere where the majority of weather occurs). This morning, we observed a distinct surface temperature inversion during our balloon launch. With clear sky conditions, light winds, and ... relatively dry air, the temperature dropped to near 34 degrees at ground level. Once the balloon was released, the temperature increased rapidly to near 56 degrees only 385 ft above the launch site! This is also an indication to us that our temperatures will warm rapidly this morning as daytime heating continues!"
I've seen that happen countless times just after takeoff when glancing at my outside air temperature (OAT) guage, especially at night and in the early morning of course! Pretty cool!
10-18-2012, 11:34 AM
1,344 posts, read
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Reputation: 1750
Hey Cambium,
Speaking of flying, just 14 more days until I'll be flying from here all the way to the Bahamas again (soooo freaking excited)!! Now that the GFS is within range, what are you seeing long term in terms of temperature departures as well as the 850 mb flow, both here and down in paradise??
Just want a general idea of the amplitude of the jet as well as model consistancy (If thats even possible at 300+ hrs out!
) in where the troughs and ridges will likely set up then.
A good friend of mine (who once in a blue moon posts here) is telling me that 14 days out I should be looking at the 11 day GFS as he told me that that model tends to get ahead of itself in the LR.
Do you concur with this? Thanks as always and keep the posts coming!
10-18-2012, 03:01 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Reputation: 16620
Did anyone catch the fact that Upton hit 34 degrees this morning???? What was that all about. Caught me by surprise!
And NYC didnt go below 50! And Bridgeport didnt go below 45!
National Weather Service Text Product Display
10-18-2012, 04:24 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read
75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16620
Quote:
Originally Posted by
papafox
A good friend of mine (who once in a blue moon posts here) is telling me that 14 days out I should be looking at the 11 day GFS as he told me that that model tends to get ahead of itself in the LR.
Not what I usually come across, when you're that far out you have to look at the pattern and not the date. Sometimes GFS has it within 2 days, sometimes it disappears. But to look at the 11th day to figure out what happens on the 14th Im not so sure about. Right off the bat that is implying the model is too slow with things but its not the case all the time. For instance, this storm tomorrow for a week had it clearing out faster than any other model which meant it was too quick with the pattern. So essentially that theory would work the other way... Use Day 17 to see what Day 14 would bring. The trick for long term is to look at the pattern then figure out the day as it gets closer. Consistancy is also key on what day it shows something.
Euro12z showing a Ridge in 2 weeks. That means it says we stay warm for another 2 weeks.
10-18-2012, 06:35 PM
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read
18,888,129 times
Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
For some reason that part of the tri-state is "Newark in reverse", I've always noticed that they and nearby Westhampton Beach (which was 36 deg) shows unusually low temperatures on "radiational cooling" nights. I never understood it, as it's not really inland and not high in elevation nor a deeply cut valley (where cold air would sink). I remember one day either last winter or the winter before where Upton and Westhampton Beach were a couple of degrees below zero and I think no one else except the far northern/inland areas were even under 10 degrees above!
Thoughts are welcome......
10-19-2012, 05:09 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read
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Reputation: 16620
Give yourself time today to travel. Flow moving South to North will give us those heavy downpours at times. Should clear by tomorrow morning.
Chance of Thunder today too.
In regards to the heat next week, looks like models backing off a bit now but GFS still has 70s next Friday.
10-19-2012, 09:52 AM
754 posts, read
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Reputation: 208
this humidity is awful..... feels like summer again
10-19-2012, 10:02 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read
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Reputation: 16620
I was going to say Im not impressed with this rain today then I saw whats in NJ heading here. Heavy rains should enter CT in a couple hours.
This is actually moving South to North so Fairfield and Litchfield will feel it first then as more moisture gets involved the entire state should get it.
Edit: Dewpoints are in the low to mid 60s. very Tropical with a cool twist. lol
Last edited by Cambium; 10-19-2012 at 10:13 AM ..
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House heating fuel used in apartments - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - No fuel used (%)
Armed forces status - In Armed Forces (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Veteran (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Nonveteran (%)
Fatal accidents locations in years 2005-2021
Fatal accidents locations in 2005
Fatal accidents locations in 2006
Fatal accidents locations in 2007
Fatal accidents locations in 2008
Fatal accidents locations in 2009
Fatal accidents locations in 2010
Fatal accidents locations in 2011
Fatal accidents locations in 2012
Fatal accidents locations in 2013
Fatal accidents locations in 2014
Fatal accidents locations in 2015
Fatal accidents locations in 2016
Fatal accidents locations in 2017
Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)
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