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Mostly just some light rain yesterday here in Indy but a storm around 5AM this morning brought a quick almost half an inch. Currently experiencing some off and on heavy rain here. Slight risk of severe storms across the entire state later this afternoon mostly wind with a risk for tornadoes in northern Indiana. I wonder how this morning's storms and rain will impact things. Will that plus almost no sunshine stabilize the atmosphere?
Anyone seen this mornings gfs? Bastardi has been talking about how he believes this is a year for a socal landfalling hurricane and gfs portrays one less than 10 days out?
GFS continues to call for a tropical system to make landfall on the Baja California in concert with an extra-topical system affecting Northern California. The tropical system (currently called Tropical Depression Twenty-E) then proceeds to affect the Lower Colorado River Valley on Monday and Tuesday of next week.
Source: https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
The Euro is having none of this of course. But strangely enough, the Euro instead is calling for a different tropical system (which I think is Invest 95E) to hit the same area Friday of next week.
the windy dry weather has started here. Dewpoint fell from 18 to 2c ! bluedome skies and only a 22c max today. Low should only be 7c on friday morning, quite a shock but overall this is probably the best type of possible weather this time of the year.
What a weird and wonderful universe the GFS lives in. Somehow it has Tropical Depression Twenty-E survive its trip across the deserts and mountains of the US southwest to acquire extra-tropical characteristics. The resulting system then interacts with cold air to the north to produce widespread snow across the Canadian prairies.
Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
What a weird and wonderful universe the GFS lives in. Somehow it has Tropical Depression Twenty-E survive its trip across the deserts and mountains of the US southwest to acquire extra-tropical characteristics. The resulting system then interacts with cold air to the north to produce widespread snow across the Canadian prairies.
In a pattern like we are you do have to wonder. All the cold that's around, add some tropical moisture and it will add historic to history.
61° at lunchtime here feels colder though.
1.20" of rain already (started at 3am) and I see a batch that would put me over 2" easily if it gets here. Moisture is moving NE so might miss.
Let me grab a loop. Note the flooding reports from NJ, those folks were under that heavy red batch
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