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February looks cold to me based on trends I'm seeing in the longer-range, some cross-polar flow leading to some low thickness values down to 468 down into Quebec by early February at 500mb level. Pattern looks to partially revert back to December scenario in some ways.
February looks cold to me based on trends I'm seeing in the longer-range, some cross-polar flow leading to some low thickness values down to 468 down into Quebec by early February at 500mb level. Pattern looks to partially revert back to December scenario in some ways.
This warming thaw past week and next couple days is bumping the January departures up a bit. I'll have to do a summary soon for this Dec-Jan outbreak.. still want to try to compare it to Feb 2015 in a way. Not sure how yet
February looks cold to me based on trends I'm seeing in the longer-range, some cross-polar flow leading to some low thickness values down to 468 down into Quebec by early February at 500mb level. Pattern looks to partially revert back to December scenario in some ways.
Probably will end up colder than Feb 2015 out east. Long range GFS looks very cold with sub -40C 850mb temps over Quebec.
I would also bet on February being cold and snowy. Winter sure isn't over yet. I believe February is actually our snowiest month, on average. Early winter snow like we had this year suggests a continuation of the same for the rest of the season.
I would also bet on February being cold and snowy. Winter sure isn't over yet. I believe February is actually our snowiest month, on average. Early winter snow like we had this year suggests a continuation of the same for the rest of the season.
12Z and 18Z have been shifting cold further east. It could be the West misses out again, but a little to early to tell yet for early February at least.
Probably will end up colder than Feb 2015 out east. Long range GFS looks very cold with sub -40C 850mb temps over Quebec.
-40 C temperatures as far south as Quebec in February???? Yikes, winter still isn’t even half over with(astronomically), so the east may not have experienced the worst of the extreme cold, I am still holding out a limb of hope that the Midwest(especially Indiana)has experienced the worst of the extreme cold for this season.
While you natives of Connecticut might luck out with this next surge of arctic air, you must remember that you New England natives often are spared the worst of the arctic air outbreaks a.k.a the “Polar Vortex”, these models are for the EASTERN HALF of the continental United States, not just New England. As an avid gardener and an exotic plants enthusiast, I am deeply worried about some plants not usually associated with the Indianapolis area dying as a result of ANY more arctic outbreaks.
I think it will verify. Normally when models plop a ridge over the west, it verifies.
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, winter still isn’t even half over with(astronomically), so the east may not have experienced the worst of the extreme cold, I am still holding out a limb of hope that the Midwest(especially Indiana)has experienced the worst of the extreme cold for this season
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I think it will verify. Normally when models plop a ridge over the west, it verifies.
