February & Early March 2016 U.S Stormy Pattern (Rain & Snowstorms) (degree, sunny)

[nei]

I'm guessing the 850 mb are colder to the north and west, which is why the Berkshires have such high snow totals. This looks like the best setup of the season, the along the coast track is better than previous ones.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by tkln

You guys have had your fun...hopefully our turn now! Businesses up here are suffering and some have even shut down due to this year's horrible winter...we need whatever comes our way!

I'm hoping you guys get in on the action! We all have to share some love! VT in a good spot I think!

Originally Posted by nei

I'm guessing the 850 mb are colder to the north and west, which is why the Berkshires have such high snow totals. This looks like the best setup of the season, the along the coast track is better than previous ones.

Yup. 850s always colder (or cold enough) to north and west of storm track, that's why a coastal hugger sucks for us and if the storm moves north "into" New England its just even worse.


Please Watch Bernie's new video guys. He doesn't think this is a big snowstorm because the Arctic High is leaving, not arriving. But of course things can change! Simple Climatology .

Next storm to target East Coast Monday into Tuesday - Trending Now - AccuWeather Videos

[nei]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Yup. 850s always colder (or cold enough) to north and west of storm track, that's why a coastal hugger sucks for us and if the storm moves north "into" New England its just even worse.


Please Watch Bernie's new video guys. He doesn't think this is a big snowstorm because the Arctic High is leaving, not arriving. But of course things can change! Simple Climatology .

Good video, though he focused too much on the Northeast Corridor for my tastes. Though of course that's where the people are.

Whites could get dumped with snow. Finally.

[Cambium]

WPC update for Tues-Wed 16th-17th Storm..




NOT a track or a placement for a storm for East Coast Snows!! But should be fun to see the front end thump. Appalachian Mountains from North Carolina all the way are in for a good dumping.


WPC Day 6 Sea Level Pressures and Fronts

[Riley09swb]

Originally Posted by Cambium

WPC update for Tues-Wed 16th-17th Storm..




NOT a track or a placement for a storm for East Coast Snows!! But should be fun to see the front end thump. Appalachian Mountains from North Carolina all the way are in for a good dumping.


WPC Day 6 Sea Level Pressures and Fronts

Do you think the Charlotte area will get any snow?

[Cambium]

Tues-Wed 16th-17th Storm Update..


Just saw GFS12z come out. No maps.. Will start posting them tonight or tomorrow.


I will say... GFS12z was the warmest of its last 4runs

• Hour 111, Monday 10pm, Storm over Alabama. Snowing in Kentucky, Rain in Tennessee..

• Hour 123, Tuesday 10am, 1000mb Storm over Carolinas. Raining all the way up to the CT/MA border

• Hr129, Tuesday 4pm. 993mb Low over Del Marva. Freezing lines up to the Canadian border. (not a typo). Rains for even in Vermont.

• Hr 135, Tuesday 10pm, 984mb Low over NYC. Temps in the low 40s up to MA. Upper 30s up to Montreal. Cold Soaking rains for everyone except Northern Maine and Eastern PA and Eastern NY

YOU CANT HAVE A TRACK FROM THE SOUTH UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD FOR SNOW. Especially with a departing High Pressure. Needs to be off the coast and nothing is indicating that right now!

[nei]

what changed from the GFS map with lots of snow you posted this morning?

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by Riley09swb

Do you think the Charlotte area will get any snow?

I don't think you will but You might get some light snow Sunday night which wouldn't be part of the system... The storm I believe is too warm for you to get snow and you start warming up before the precip from it moves in.

Originally Posted by nei

what changed from the GFS map with lots of snow you posted this morning?

Just warmer with the temps. Snow still there for those areas with heavy snow (WV, Northern Maine and Eastern PA and Eastern NY) but temps surged warmer faster so there wasn't the big "front end thump" for most of us.



Meanwhile... Canadian12z dumps on Kentucky, WV, Eastern PA, Eastern NY with the storm. But what you see East of the Appalachians here is front end snows. It turns to rain after that but stays snow West of the Apps!

[Cambium]

Friday Feb 12, 2016 Storm: Tomorrow!


I'm losing track of things. Cant keep up


Warnings are up for coastal North Carolina. This is yet another storm developing & moving off the coast there!






1146 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST FRIDAY NIGHT...

...THREAT OF WINTER WEATHER FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BEGINNING FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING
INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS FRIDAY NIGHT. WITH COLD AIR IN
PLACE...PRECIPITATION WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF MOSTLY SNOW OVER
AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 264...WITH A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SLEET...SNOW
AND FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND
ICE ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN AREAS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
EVENING AND DANGEROUS TRAVELS CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...FROM MID MORNING THROUGH LATE EVENING ON FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...SLICK SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AREAS
ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION...FORECASTS...AND WARNINGS.

[Cambium]

Horrible storm track. This is just showing the frozen size of things. Could be mostly rain though but hard to put on the map so this is showing what happens before the changeover. Some areas shown under the Icy Mix here will see snow to start before changing to ice. MESS