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Hmm. I wonder if it's the way you're interpreting the maps or whats expected which makes you say "it didn't come".
I don't think anyone talked about "extreme" cold and I don't think it was for New England. Has the cold happened? OF COURSE. You have to look past your backyard because I agree, New England is being left out so far!
Well "arctic blasts" suggest extreme cold. Don't feel like going through the thread, but there were lots of posts on arctic blasts and cold air coming in. But you're right, most weren't New England focused, and some were just "normal cold".
I think after last winter, everytime I hear "cold" I think of cold to the level of late last winter. Or even 2014. Just seeing a mention of cold coming makes me nervous.
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Now, whats coming? Well... Believe it or not Joe Bastardi believes the MJO over the Stratosphere and Vortex split. The MJO indicating a warm period (or lets call it no arctic invasion), the Stratosphere and Vortex split indicates a Cold period coming.
If I'm following correctly, the stratospheric warming means it's likely cold arctic air could intrude into the midlatitudes, but it could be somewhere other than the US?
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If the trough digs too deep and wide where the boundary is down south and well out in the Atlantic, New England gets the cold but not the snow.
If the boundary sits off the coast and the deep cold is interior more, then New England will just be seasonable but they will get the snowstorm chances.
Guess we have to pick which we want!
Models picking up on the latter instead. So that means Trend is your friend and New England will just be seasonable but will have snowstorm chances!
Well I don't defintely don't want the first; second could be good. Too early to tell for sure.
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Lastly ........... unlike last year, these troughs are swinging in & out! Nothing is lasting long, but does it ever anyway>????? However, if the Polar Vortex is in Ontario & Quebec then the swinging of the troughs will be closer in time (once a week) rather than twice a month!
Safe to stay a stuck cold like last winter or even 2014 is unlikely?
Just had a crazy downpour with lighting and thunder
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