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Old 01-27-2016, 10:53 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post

Where is Infamous now when I said it never goes to Europe. The vortex isn't headed there afterall. They are a torch this February, while we are in the freezer.
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Old 01-27-2016, 11:19 AM
 
Location: Lexington, KY
12,278 posts, read 9,458,249 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tommyFL View Post
It's been the same temperature for 9 consecutive hours. Fascinating weather today.
That's kind of fascinating in and of itself, lol.
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Old 01-27-2016, 11:35 AM
 
Location: New York
11,326 posts, read 20,338,414 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Where is Infamous now when I said it never goes to Europe. The vortex isn't headed there afterall. They are a torch this February, while we are in the freezer.
Europe suffered a severe cold wave in 2012. We suffered one in 2015. And Asia went through it this year. It's easy to make it seem as if we're constantly getting the short end of the stick, I also feel that way at times, but I don't think that's the case.

Either way, I hope this doesn't happen, at least not to the degree that many of the cold lovers here would like.
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Old 01-27-2016, 12:25 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Infamous92 View Post
Europe suffered a severe cold wave in 2012. We suffered one in 2015. And Asia went through it this year. It's easy to make it seem as if we're constantly getting the short end of the stick, I also feel that way at times, but I don't think that's the case.

Either way, I hope this doesn't happen, at least not to the degree that many of the cold lovers here would like.

They get it like once every ten years, we have gotten it four out of the last six winters, and this one would make 5 out 7 if it happens. I don't think they are hyping this one. It is the worst timing. The never ending ridge in the PNW is back, just when the vortex is letting loose. So we will take the brunt yet again. Feb and March have a very good chance of being well below average here. And everything I look at shows Europe on fire for all of February.
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Old 01-27-2016, 01:12 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Where is Infamous now when I said it never goes to Europe. The vortex isn't headed there afterall. They are a torch this February, while we are in the freezer.
no good evidence for a February cold blast at least yet

https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...02194583310336

lol @ him calling no cold a killjoy
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Old 01-27-2016, 01:13 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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here's all the GEFS results (not exactly sure what he means by cluster)

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...05751466303488
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Old 01-27-2016, 02:05 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
here's all the GEFS results (not exactly sure what he means by cluster)

Different members within the Ensembles. Shown there 4 of 6 showing the cold but there are 2 that shows a ridge so that's the risk for forecasters in calling a cold pattern since there is that "chance" the cold wont happen if those 2 members (clusters) are right. But is there ever a solid 100% agreement with all members 2 weeks out? No. So go with the majority, which is cold right now.

As you know I religiously check the raw data for Euro and GFS everyday to see what they're showing & get a sense of what could be coming..


Here's latest GFS12z for Chicopee. Notice it's seasonable next 5 days, then the warmup, and the rains, then after the 4th down we go

Normal 850mb Temp is -8C for the area.


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Old 01-27-2016, 02:18 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Mind posting the same for Whitefield, New Hampshire?

With the GFS output (or any output) I'd assume the general pattern is correct, but the exact timing and magnitude of the warmth and cold extreme may be off.
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Old 01-27-2016, 02:23 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,935,689 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
no good evidence for a February cold blast at least yet

https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...02194583310336

lol @ him calling no cold a killjoy

I've come to the conclusion the only people that go into meteorology are fanatical cold lovers vs climatologists that seem more unbiased. I really haven't come across a mild weather meteo except Brett Anderson of Accu-W and he is an outlier there. No wonder the cold lovers on here have ample ammunition to keep posting cold and relentless cold.
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Old 01-27-2016, 02:29 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Mind posting the same for Whitefield, New Hampshire?

With the GFS output (or any output) I'd assume the general pattern is correct, but the exact timing and magnitude of the warmth and cold extreme may be off.
Yup, as always anything past 10 days can flip flop opposite what's shown. The cold is being pretty consistent past couple days now and as far as timing you know the drill.. Could be faster or slower but within 10 days it wont be off much (maybe 1-2 days?)


Need the 3 letter code so I used this site to get the 3 letter code for the closest station.
IEM :: NH_ASOS Current Conditions


Looks like they got light snow this week, snow to rain next week, cold and snow after.


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