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Now.. about the 3rd storm Wed next week... models been trending colder but I mentioned rain/ice would be involved as of right now..
Hard to keep tracks of all the storms as I'm not following every post carefully. So correct me if I'm wrong, the three snowstorms are:
1) Thursday — out by the coast, mainly affecting coastal Massachusetts
2) Saturday — a rather cold clipper system, though sitting near a boundary of warmer air. Mainly affecting New England and upstate NY?
3) Next Wednesday — more southerly, might even bring up some non-snow precipitation up here
I was a bit puzzled why you keep talking so much on exact storm position, since the storms seem clearly snowstorms except maybe the last one. Forgot the rain/snow line is near you.
Without going back every page...hope it has been mentioned this was predicted in the Farmer's Almanac...based on Sunspot cycles...and that
here in the SW, USA would be mild.
Amazing...10 years in a row that I know of it has been correct.
“It was snowing lightly despite the fact that two-thirds of the sky was clear, and the southeastern third had just a thin cirrus overcast,” Neilley said. “On the very southeast horizon was some stratocumulus.” (!)
The best chance for truly historic U.S. cold this weekend or early next week could be over the very deep snowpack of New England, where depths of 10” to 30” or more are now widespread (see Figure 3). On a cold, clear night, snow cover enhances the loss of heat from the ground as radiational cooling predominates (also dubbed nocturnal cooling, as blogger Lee Grenci explains). A deep snowpack also brings the “surface” closer to the height of weather instrument shelters, where thermometers are located 4 - 6 feet above ground level.
Remember... it's the Upper Low position as well.. I haven't talked about an ULL in a while..
The farther south it goes the more chances NYC will have for big snows but right now they aren't in on it.
Does this graphic I made help? It's not happening with this one.. I just want it going over NYC so I can get some good snows but the setup is near the bottom most it can go now.
It's making the turn too close to me!
THIS IS A NEW ENGLAND STORM.... AGAIN.
Canadian wants me wrong!
Canadian12z even further south than GFS12z with the Weekend Low over Philly instead of NYC.
Now... Do you see the difference in results??????
Instead of the storm exiting NYC and the heavy snows MA/Boston areas, Canadian shows the results of a more south exit... heaviest snows NYC, Long Island, Rhode Island, Eastern MA
If the Euro goes south of NYC too, heads up.
FYI... the energy/clipper storm is still in Canada. As it dives south the models will have better data to injest since it's in the network of the data grabs.
Hard to keep tracks of all the storms as I'm not following every post carefully. So correct me if I'm wrong, the three snowstorms are:
1) Thursday — out by the coast, mainly affecting coastal Massachusetts
2) Saturday — a rather cold clipper system, though sitting near a boundary of warmer air. Mainly affecting New England and upstate NY?
3) Next Wednesday — more southerly, might even bring up some non-snow precipitation up here
1) Yes and snowstorm for Nova Scotia
2) Semi. Clipper turns into a big Coastal storm and an ULL closes off over the area. track of it key.
3) Yes. Coming from SW/S and will depend on the angle of the front/freezing lines and track of the Lows
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei
I was a bit puzzled why you keep talking so much on exact storm position, since the storms seem clearly snowstorms except maybe the last one. Forgot the rain/snow line is near you.
Exact storm position is key even at the North Pole. Meaning, the position is what you need to follow to know where the bulk/heaviest snows will be. So even though it will be all snow this weekend, the position is CRUICIAL to who gets how much.
Funny...man can't eradicate insect pests, cancer or other maladies but we can kill a planet.
Of course, we can. Sofar, man has been stopped before it's utterly too late.
Sure, we can poison the water, poison the air, kill the fish, strip the hills, etc etc
And,ever hear of nuclear weapons?
If the Euro goes south of NYC too, heads up. I always knew this weekend storm was the one to watch!
Euro goes over NYC. (so points north/northeast of NYC get the big snows)
Surface temps in 20s. Temps aloft in teens and single digits F°!(crazy!)
Then ........ surprise surprise. Big snowstorm Wednesday next week for Mid Atlantic & Northeast.. No mix issues for here says the latest Euro.. Being that the other models trended colder, I wonder if now we're looking another snow event again 3 days after this Sundays.
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