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I told some people that many areas of Maine haven't seen the ground since November, they were shocked then said "how depressing". That's just nuts. And it's mid April and they still have over half foot snowpack.
I love winter but I do love my seasons (except summer). I would adjust to northern winters but part of me would be itching to see some ground at least after 3 months....I think... maybe not. Maybe I say that cause I'm just so used to seeing it 11 months a year. lol
At this point I just want to see plants growing; I care about that more than warmth. Think within a week there'll be something. I prefer snow over bare ground, I find bare landscape a bit bleak for months. The coldest part of winter was tolerable to me for all the snow.
Is that the warmest of the season so far? Is that rather early for you? We're forecast to reach 19°C tomorrow for the first time this spring.
Yes to both questions I don't know about 19C, but the earliest 20C on record was 27 March in 2012, which was way out in lalaland compared to the long-term average. Second and third earliest were 14 April and 16 April, but we'll have to wait a little bit longer than that this year.
Spot the pattern! (Average first 20C date by decade)
1980s: 1 June
1990s: 23 May
2000s: 7 May
2010s: 30 April
I've looked up the data for the average last date to see 20C per decade as well, and oddly enough there is no pattern at all despite so many recent autumns being above average.
1980s: 11 September
1990s: 11 September
2000s: 13 September
2010s: 10 September
I suspect the trend towards warmer autumns would show up in the stats if you used a 15C or 18C threshold.
I've looked up the data for the average last date to see 20C per decade as well, and oddly enough there is no pattern at all despite so many recent autumns being above average.
1980s: 11 September
1990s: 11 September
2000s: 13 September
2010s: 10 September
I suspect the trend towards warmer autumns would show up in the stats if you used a 15C or 18C threshold.
Heathrow's first and last 20c days for the last 10 years.
2014: 15 May / 31 Oct
2013: 23 Apr / 7 Oct
2012: 23 Mar / 15 Sep
2011: 6 Apr / 23 Oct
2010: 24 Apr / 10 Oct
2009: 15 Apr / 6 Oct
2008: 26 Apr / 12 Oct
2007: 5 Apr / 23 Sep
2006: 4 May / 10 Oct
2005: 19 Mar / 27 Oct
And 15c days
2014: 7 Mar / 2 Nov
2013: 5 Mar / 6 Nov
2012: 23 Feb / 13 Nov
2011: 21 Mar / 18 Nov
2010: 17 Mar / 11 Nov
2009: 27 Feb / 21 Nov
2008: 10 Feb / 23 Oct
2007: 11 Mar / 3 Nov
2006: 30 Mar / 15 Nov
2005: 16 Mar / 8 Nov
A lot more stability in the 15c days than the 20c days.
Yes to both questions I don't know about 19C, but the earliest 20C on record was 27 March in 2012, which was way out in lalaland compared to the long-term average. Second and third earliest were 14 April and 16 April, but we'll have to wait a little bit longer than that this year.
2012 was a very warm spring for us, too. Though that meant we had a day of 80s late March, reached 20°C on March 13.
Heavy rainfall in the forecast over the next week for the deep South.
I don't buy it. They've been saying the same thing for 3 weeks, it never happens. Somebody remember in a week to come back and tell me I was wrong. I hope I am.
Quote:
Originally Posted by NWS
European model (ecmwf) pushes precipitation south and
west as The Wedge front pushes into the Carolinas...but GFS insists
on more of a diabatically enhanced onset with precipitation staying
put across the Carolinas. Tried to take a general blend but it
definitely could go either way Wednesday into Thursday...with a
drier forecast as advertised by the European model (ecmwf) or wetter per the GFS.
Didnt pass mid 50s today, sun went down and we got a chilly evening now in the 40s.
Dropping to near freezing tonight so got the fire going just now..8pm.
Nice evening to sit outside with a sweatshirt around a fire pit with marshmallows.
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I don't know about 19C, but the earliest 20C on record was 27 March in 2012, which was way out in lalaland compared to the long-term average. Second and third earliest were 14 April and 16 April, but we'll have to wait a little bit longer than that this year.
