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Overview A more varied winter is expected than last year’s. An unsettled period bringing above average rainfall, and in the north snow, is expected to develop in late December and last into early February. In the east and south the second half of February is most likely to bring significant snowfall.
Temperature
Slightly below average in the north.
Close to average in the south .
Precipitation
Close to or slightly above average.
December Temperature: Close to average in the north Slightly above average in the south
Precipitation: Slightly below average
The early part of the month is expected to bring a good deal of dry weather with frost likely at times, although the extent of this could be limited due to cloud cover. In the north it is expected to become more unsettled towards the middle of the month bringing an increasing risk of rain and some snow mostly over high ground. Daytime temperatures generally close to or perhaps a little below the seasonal average but perhaps recovering towards the middle of the month, especially in the south.
A trend to more unsettled conditions is forecast to develop during the second half of the month. Initially these will occur mostly in the north but through the period they will probably spread southwards. Temperatures likely to be above average in the south but staying close to average further north with colder air at times returning from the north. Significant snow is possible over the Scottish mountains and there could be some temporary snowfall at lower levels too. Across the rest of the UK the risk of snow is considered low although obviously greater over high ground in Wales and northern England.
January Temperature: Close to average in the south Slightly below average in the north
Precipitation: Above average
The month as a whole is expected to bring unsettled conditions with above average rainfall. At times it could be quite stormy and in northern areas colder air is expected to bring the potential for significant snowfall. With temperatures often quite marginal for snow the greatest risk will be over higher ground, but lowland snow is likely too. In the north temperatures are expected to be slightly below average.
In southern parts of the UK it is also expected to be unsettled with above average levels of rainfall. Temperatures here shouldn’t be too far from the average over the month and any snowfall is expected to be transitional, but perhaps more significant over higher ground.
Towards the end of the month the unsettled theme is forecast to continue but possibly lose its intensity. This could lead to an increasing chance of milder days in the south and close to average ones in the north.
February Temperature: Slightly below average possibly below average
Precipitation: Slightly below average, possibly below average
The first half of the month is expected to be quite unsettled with temperatures often close to average and above average at times in the south. Rainfall levels probably close to or slightly above the average with drier spells more likely in the south and east. These are expected later on and could lead to an increasing chance of frost.
Through the second half of the month colder and more settled weather is anticipated. This period might bring the highest risk of significant snowfall to lowland areas in the east and possibly south of England in the form of showers. Conditions may be favourable for a widespread snowfall event during this period. North western parts of the UK possibly milder and more unsettled with rain at times.
Was 52f at 8 am (Long Island) good start to the first day of winter. Clouded over. Seagulls overhead fit with the oceanic weather breeze coming from the ocean. Wish I could go to the beach
Current temps as I hear Lawn Mowers, leaf blowers, shovels, ladders, birds, and motorcycles.
61 Boston, 39 Memphis.
60 Hartford, 33 Dallas.
61 NYC, 23 Lubbock.
64 Atlantic City, 42 Little Rock.
Whats sad is, I might not have a max temp as cold as Dallas will be today. I should be getting a max much colder at least. Come on.
Cold lovers enjoy the couple days this week because there's really no frigid air coming until around or after mid month. Seasonable at time and either side of normal but no arctic outbreaks for couple weeks
monthly temperature deviation (1961-1990 normal period.)
coldest in absolute numbers: nikkaloukta (-11.1C)
warmest in absolute numbers: skillinge (8.8C).
monthly precipiation deviation (1961-1990) and the wettest and driest stations, both relatively and absolutely speaking.
Winter means rain for California. Normally. Unlike last year, it's happening. From NWS Los Angeles
WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT
TIMING OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND THE ULTIMATE RAINFALL TOTALS...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN COASTAL AND VALLEY
AREAS...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.
THE ONE MAIN CONCERN AT THIS POINT IS THE AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL
EASTERLY FLOW THAT COULD DEVELOP ON TUESDAY WHICH COULD HELP TO
DIMINISH THE EARLIER RAINFALL ESTIMATES. IT APPEARS THAT RAIN WILL
BECOME MOST WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIEST ON TUESDAY...LINGERING ACROSS
LOS ANGELES COUNTY ON TUESDAY EVENING.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A 2 TO 3 HOUR BURST OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
THIS SYSTEM ON TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL RATES AROUND ONE HALF INCH
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL RATES OF THIS INTENSITY COULD BRING
THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS TO LOCATIONS
IN AND AROUND RECENT BURN AREAS. AS WE DRAW CLOSER TO THE EVENT...A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR THE RECENT BURN AREAS.
ADDITIONAL ROCK AND MUDSLIDES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN NON-BURN
AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 1 AND CANYON ROADS IN THE SANTA
MONICA MOUNTAINS.
Boston had a record daily snowfall 4 days ago and some areas with a record daily Low temp 2 days ago. These ups and downs are tiring sometimes. But maybe its the heat talking.
Winter means rain for California. Normally. Unlike last year, it's happening. From NWS Los Angeles
WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT
TIMING OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND THE ULTIMATE RAINFALL TOTALS...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN COASTAL AND VALLEY
AREAS...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.
THE ONE MAIN CONCERN AT THIS POINT IS THE AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL
EASTERLY FLOW THAT COULD DEVELOP ON TUESDAY WHICH COULD HELP TO
DIMINISH THE EARLIER RAINFALL ESTIMATES. IT APPEARS THAT RAIN WILL
BECOME MOST WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIEST ON TUESDAY...LINGERING ACROSS
LOS ANGELES COUNTY ON TUESDAY EVENING.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A 2 TO 3 HOUR BURST OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
THIS SYSTEM ON TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL RATES AROUND ONE HALF INCH
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL RATES OF THIS INTENSITY COULD BRING
THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS TO LOCATIONS
IN AND AROUND RECENT BURN AREAS. AS WE DRAW CLOSER TO THE EVENT...A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR THE RECENT BURN AREAS.
ADDITIONAL ROCK AND MUDSLIDES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN NON-BURN
AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 1 AND CANYON ROADS IN THE SANTA
MONICA MOUNTAINS.
Good news for them. They could definitely use it. Hopefully the flooding will be minimal.
Meanwhile here it's a cloudy, but mild day. 52 F/11 C at 1:45PM. Snow is melting. Tomorrow is forecast to only have a high of 33 F/1 C with sleet and snow possible.
Overall temperatures will be below normal this week for North-west and Central Europe but temperatures will begin to lift towards seasonal norm for Germany towards the end of the week. The pressure will lower across northern Europe over the weekend and next week with high wind potential for the UK and later northern Germany and a less cold westerly flow lifting temperatures back towards seasonal norm. There is a risk temperatures could be slightly above normal for NW/C Europe as per the GFS ensemble but also a risk towards colder temperatures as per 27% ECMWF ensemble cluster.
It's still 68 F after sunset. This mild weather is so annoying considering it's December. My location is not supposed to have any lows below 40 for the next 6 days. The average low for this period is 36.
With a high of 74 today, it felt like April. 70s are fine, but only from late March to the end of October. The rest of the year that feels to warm.
Maybe winter will just not come this year and we'll have consistent 60s and 70s, with 80s by February. Maybe November will be the coldest month until next winter, and it will never get below freezing again until November 2015. It probably won't be that bad, but until my area sees highs in the 30s and snow, I'll keep worrying.
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