Why hasn't the Singularity gone mainstream (yet?) (power, advance, smartphone)
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This is what I have been talking about and by 2020.
Ray Kurzweil made a startling prediction in 1999 that appears to be coming true: that by 2023 a $1,000 laptop would have the computing power and storage capacity of a human brain. He also predicted that Moore’s Law, which postulates that the processing capability of a computer doubles every 18 months, would apply for 60 years — until 2025 — giving way then to new paradigms of technological change.
Kurzweil, a renowned futurist and the director of engineering at Google, told me a few days ago that the hardware needed to emulate the human brain may be ready even sooner than he predicted — in around 2020 — using technologies such as graphics processing units (GPUs), which are ideal for brain-software algorithms. He predicts that the complete brain software will take a little longer: until about 2029.
I talk about solar a lot and how it is the future. I, have, also had a lot of criticism for saying that and now people are starting to realize that it is the future.
Here is the latest article on it:
A solar future isn't just likely — it's inevitable
3D chips are the next step but once we get quantum computers it will be a big game changer and this is a good step towards that goal.
IBM scientists today unveiled two critical advances towards the realization of a practical quantum computer. For the first time, they showed the ability to detect and measure both kinds of quantum errors simultaneously, as well as demonstrated a new, square quantum bit circuit design that is the only physical architecture that could successfully scale to larger dimensions.
Quantum Computers Will Make Your Laptop Look Like an Abacus
So it looks like we will go from the integrated circuit to 3D circuits then the quantum computer.
From Newsweek:
The race to make the first quantum computer is becoming as important as the race 75 years ago to get the first nuke. It could change the balance of power in politics and business.
Quantum computers have long been theoretically possible but a kind of futuristic fantasy, like Interstellar-style wormhole travel, or zero-calorie Hershey Bars. I first wrote in the 1990s about the quest for one. Now breakthroughs are coming faster, and scientists say we’re 15 to 20 years away from fully functional, programmable quantum computers.
So it looks like we will go from the integrated circuit to 3D circuits then the quantum computer.
From Newsweek:
The race to make the first quantum computer is becoming as important as the race 75 years ago to get the first nuke. It could change the balance of power in politics and business.
Quantum computers have long been theoretically possible but a kind of futuristic fantasy, like Interstellar-style wormhole travel, or zero-calorie Hershey Bars. I first wrote in the 1990s about the quest for one. Now breakthroughs are coming faster, and scientists say we’re 15 to 20 years away from fully functional, programmable quantum computers.
I saw that article earlier. Thanks for posting it. That puts the possibility of having working quantum computers by around 2030 to 2035. Whether it gets into the hands of the average consumer by then remains to be seen. It would be an enormous step forward in computing though.
So it looks like we will go from the integrated circuit to 3D circuits then the quantum computer.
From Newsweek:
The race to make the first quantum computer is becoming as important as the race 75 years ago to get the first nuke. It could change the balance of power in politics and business.
Quantum computers have long been theoretically possible but a kind of futuristic fantasy, like Interstellar-style wormhole travel, or zero-calorie Hershey Bars. I first wrote in the 1990s about the quest for one. Now breakthroughs are coming faster, and scientists say we’re 15 to 20 years away from fully functional, programmable quantum computers.
So if they actually manage to do this, it would in a way prove the existence of parallel universes, right? To my understanding at this point only mathematical equations show there are multiple universes, but these quantum computers would apparently search in other universes and come back to ours with an answer?
So if they actually manage to do this, it would in a way prove the existence of parallel universes, right? To my understanding at this point only mathematical equations show there are multiple universes, but these quantum computers would apparently search in other universes and come back to ours with an answer?
That is a good question and one I am not sure of. I mean something like this goes beyond information technology so I have to be intellectually honest here. However if that does happen it would be cool.
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