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I look forward to the 2020 census. I hope NC will show a better growth in many counties.
Looks like Concord will be our next city to break 100,000 people about 2021.
Last edited by CLT1985; 04-26-2018 at 08:51 AM..
Reason: about
I look forward to the 2020 census. I hope NC will show a better growth in many counties.
Looks like Concord will be our next city to break 100,000 people about 2021.
The early 2020s should prove pretty entertaining with a bunch of milestones everywhere. Asheville, Concord, and Greenville should all be nearing 100k residents, Cary should be closing in on 200k, Durham and Greensboro should both be approaching 300k, Raleigh should be close to 500k, and Charlotte should be nearing 900k.
As Cary, Durham, and Greensboro grow, they will begin to add more to the economy of NC and it will not just be Charlotte and Raleigh. Concord has a leg up on Greenville and not as much on Asheville due to its location near Charlotte and is in the Charlotte Metro.
If an auto plant come to NC, I think it will be in the Greensboro area. If that happen look out, Greensboro will be a boom town.
The census is always interesting. Prior to 2010, the Census folks told Winterville (suburb of Greenville) that they had around 5K residents. Once the census came in, it was more like 9K.
So take those estimates with a grain of salt until they actually do the census.
Mmmm this is probably not accurate but last i knew i think Gboro was gaining 1.5 - 2k people a year while Durham is adding 5.5-6.5k a year. So yeah 5-7 years probably. If those numbers are correct i don't know.
But both Winston and Gboros metros are larger. Gboro (756k) WS (662k) Durham (560k)
Greensboro is adding about 3k per year.
Durham is adding about 5.7k per year.
Greensboro is adding about 3k per year.
Durham is adding about 5.7k per year.
Is there an actual update on Greensboro's official population since 2016? That's the last i can find. Not to argue, but at that point the population growth was slowing down. It grew by about 1.7k from 2015 to 2016 and hadn't grown by 3k people in a year since 2012-2014. If it's growing by that much again that's great! But if not, exaggerating it by almost double skews that time frame of Durham passing it.
Is there an actual update on Greensboro's official population since 2016? That's the last i can find. Not to argue, but at that point the population growth was slowing down. It grew by about 1.7k from 2015 to 2016 and hadn't grown by 3k people in a year since 2012-2014. If it's growing by that much again that's great! But if not, exaggerating it by almost double skews that time frame of Durham passing it.
@CLT where did you get those numbers?
You're right, I realized that I skipped 2017. I was using this new 2018 population estimate that was posted with other estimates since 2010. But with that in mind, Greensboro is growing at 2,622 people per year (but slower in recent years), and the Durham numbers stayed about the same as what I said before at 5,709 people per year.
Is there an actual update on Greensboro's official population since 2016? That's the last i can find. Not to argue, but at that point the population growth was slowing down. It grew by about 1.7k from 2015 to 2016 and hadn't grown by 3k people in a year since 2012-2014. If it's growing by that much again that's great! But if not, exaggerating it by almost double skews that time frame of Durham passing it.
What this site did was take the most recent estimated growth rate (2016) and project it for the next two years to come up with 2018 numbers. So if your growth rate was 1% in 2016 it assumed your growth rate would be 1% for each subsequent year.
Not really exact science there. No reflection of building permits, annexations, utility numbers or large residential projects coming on board.
But also, using those numbers that means Greensboro grew by exactly 1,746 people 3 years in a row, so I don't think it's accurate. Seems like they just took the growth rate from 2015-2016 (the lowest in it's been in a while) and just keep adding it for 2017 and 2018.
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