Maine weather thread (Sanford: stats, lowest, insects) - (ME) - Page 42 - City-Data Forum

Cambium · 11-09-2015, 04:12 PM

Looks like uncertain with what happens this weekend with the storm. Euro model shows more snow for northern Maine.

National Weather Service Text Product Display

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
406 PM EST MON NOV 9 2015

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IT REMAINS UNCERTAIN EXACTLY WHAT`S GOING TO HAPPEN WITH THE
COMPLEX LOW EXPECTED THU NIGHT INTO FRI. WHAT SEEMS FAIRLY CERTAIN
IS THAT A BROAD SHIELD OF PRECIP WILL SPREAD OVER THE THE AREA
BETWEEN THE VERY END OF THE SHORT TERM AND THE FIRST FEW HRS OF
THE LONG TERM. P TYPE REMAINS SOMEWHAT UP IN THE AIR DEPENDING ON
THE FORMATION OF A COASTAL LOW - OR LACK THEREOF.

THE ECMWF STILL SHOWS SOME FORM OF A COASTAL LOW DVLPING OFFSHORE SRN MAINE PRE-
DAWN FRI AND TRACKING THRU COASTAL WATERS AND INTO THE BAY OF FUNDY BY FRI PM.

THE GFS DOESN`T REALLY SHOW MUCH OF A LOW ALONG THE OCCLUSION

THE CANADIAN IS SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN, BUT LEANING TOWARD THE GFS.

IF THE GFS/CANADIAN TEMPS VERIFY, THERE COULD BE AN INITIAL WINTRY MIX MAINLY KATAHDIN NORTH, QUICKLY CHANGING TO ALMOST ALL RAIN BY LATE AM AS WARM AIR ADVECTS INLAND
ON S-SE WINDS.

IF THE ECMWF WERE TO VERIFY, THERE COULD BE MUCH MORE SNOW, OR AT LEAST A LONGER PERIOD OF MIX FOR THE NORTHERN CWA. FOR NOW, SUPERBLEND SEEMS TO TAKE A SPLIT BETWEEN THE TWO ON BOTH WINDS AND TEMPS, SO I DIDN`T TOUCH THAT TOO MUCH, AND SHOW A MIX FOR ZONES 1-6 (ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT IN THE COLDEST PATCHES OF NORTH WOODS), WITH ALL RAIN TO THE SOUTH. HOPEFULLY GUIDANCE SOON SHOWS A CLEAR TREND TOWARD ONE SOLUTION OR ANOTHER.