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Old 07-18-2012, 07:37 PM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,219 posts, read 22,385,232 times
Reputation: 23859

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The Anybody But Obama thing could fade as fast as the next unemployment announcement, or the one after it, or the one after that. The Prez still has a lot of good cards yet to play in his hand, and Mitt has none. We have already seen everything Mitt has. All he can do is hold and fold.
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Old 07-18-2012, 07:39 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,956,413 times
Reputation: 1297
I think it more likely than not he gets re-elected. If I had to put numbers to it, I'd set it at about 2-1. But I certainly don't think it's a lock.
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Old 07-18-2012, 07:43 PM
 
1,748 posts, read 2,480,156 times
Reputation: 879
Quote:
Originally Posted by banjomike View Post
The Anybody But Obama thing could fade as fast as the next unemployment announcement, or the one after it, or the one after that. The Prez still has a lot of good cards yet to play in his hand, and Mitt has none. We have already seen everything Mitt has. All he can do is hold and fold.
Well, I heard on Fox News today that Mitt is now bringing out the boxing gloves. He's going to bring up the same dirt on Obama that McCain brought up in 2008. Where is Mitt's game? What a joke.
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Old 07-18-2012, 07:47 PM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,219 posts, read 22,385,232 times
Reputation: 23859
Quote:
Originally Posted by honeyinhouston View Post
Well, I heard on Fox News today that Mitt is now bringing out the boxing gloves. He's going to bring up the same dirt on Obama that McCain brought up in 2008. Where is Mitt's game? What a joke.
Boxing gloves. Big deal. Mitt doesn't know how to work the heavy bag, and has no footwork at all. Leave it up to a Republican millionaire to replay all the old stuff that didn't work the first time around. All of it has been in heavy rotation since 2008, and none of it has stuck yet.
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Old 07-18-2012, 07:50 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,956,413 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawkeye2009 View Post
Right-

You have the worst sitting president in US history as your candidate. Now he has the additional loadstone of Obamacare, which most Americans oppose, hanging around his neck.

Obama loses in a landslide, as he has lost the independents. Further, the young and minority voters, which turned out in record numbers in 2008, will not show up again. Bo is toast. Look at any poll of LIKELY voters. Keep in mind as well that Carter led Reagan three months before the election.

Best scenario for Bo? 156- 232 electoral votes. He is gone and good riddance.
Keep in mind that you're wrong.

By late June of 1980 Reagan had climbed to a 37-32 lead over Carter, held a 37-34 lead in July, and pulled out to a whopping 45-29 lead in early August -- precisely three months before the election.


Gallup Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936-2004

Anyway, nice try in trying to draw a link between Romney's tepid poll performance now and Reagan's polling versus Carter in the summer of 1980. Too bad that we actually have polls to prove you wrong, isn't it?
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:40 AM
 
30,077 posts, read 18,682,634 times
Reputation: 20896
Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post
Keep in mind that you're wrong.

By late June of 1980 Reagan had climbed to a 37-32 lead over Carter, held a 37-34 lead in July, and pulled out to a whopping 45-29 lead in early August -- precisely three months before the election.


Gallup Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936-2004

Anyway, nice try in trying to draw a link between Romney's tepid poll performance now and Reagan's polling versus Carter in the summer of 1980. Too bad that we actually have polls to prove you wrong, isn't it?

Look at your graph. It shows that Carter led Reagan (39 to 38)three months prior to the election. It also shows them being even into October. Thanks for the confirmation.

It appears as though the elections will be similar.
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:49 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,429,643 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mephistopheles View Post
Barack Obama is regaining the upper hand with this ad here.


Obama's Mitt Romney Ad America the Beautiful (God Bless America) - YouTube

You see, I call Mitt Romney's offshore accounts "Swissboat." It's a portmanteau of Swiss and Swiftboat. His Swiss bank accounts along with all his other offshore ones will be his undoing just like Swiftboat was for John Kerry. I can't wait to see Barack Obama mop his butt all over the floor in the Presidential debates.
Desperation how does anything in that ad get people back to work?

From Virginia

Virginia (VA) Poll * July 19, 2012 * Romney Catches Obama In Virgin - Quinnipiac University – Hamden, Connecticut
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:51 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,429,643 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post
Keep in mind that you're wrong.

By late June of 1980 Reagan had climbed to a 37-32 lead over Carter, held a 37-34 lead in July, and pulled out to a whopping 45-29 lead in early August -- precisely three months before the election.


Gallup Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936-2004

Anyway, nice try in trying to draw a link between Romney's tepid poll performance now and Reagan's polling versus Carter in the summer of 1980. Too bad that we actually have polls to prove you wrong, isn't it?
Except for the spread in August, which hasn't happened yet. It's basically a mirror of what is going on now.
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:52 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,429,643 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by banjomike View Post
The Anybody But Obama thing could fade as fast as the next unemployment announcement, or the one after it, or the one after that. The Prez still has a lot of good cards yet to play in his hand, and Mitt has none. We have already seen everything Mitt has. All he can do is hold and fold.
Which cards would those be? More government checks?
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:52 AM
 
Location: Area 51.5
13,887 posts, read 13,680,438 times
Reputation: 9174
Uh, huh.


The Busiest President - YouTube

And seriously, I'd guess 99.99%+ of us have our own TVs. Is it necessary to repeat all the hideous advertising here?
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