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Old 04-25-2008, 01:35 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,464,288 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chuck22b View Post
I guess we might be getting a surplus of wheat and softening in other prices in the near future. Perhaps food stuff prices going down?

Bloomberg.com: Commodities

Seems like having too many "investors/speculators" accessing commodities is a bad idea... Investors who don't know much about the supply and demand shifts and aren't part of the industry are causing such dramatic turmoil in these markets.

-chuck22b
Investors are out to make a buck. The last thing they want is to take delivery of said "purchased" commodity. They are in and out, just like the stock market..bottom line is profit, nothing more.
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Old 04-25-2008, 01:55 PM
 
Location: Chino, CA
1,458 posts, read 3,283,607 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyTexan View Post
Investors are out to make a buck. The last thing they want is to take delivery of said "purchased" commodity. They are in and out, just like the stock market..bottom line is profit, nothing more.

Well, I guess once they, the so called profit investors, fund managers, move out... there's going to be a huge surplus of grain, wheat, corn, etc.

The people that get screwed here are the farmers with margin calls when contracts dry out, and consumption falls far short of supply. There's gonna be a huge surplus of food stuffs and a market for grain storage, and lots of lost/spoiled food stuffs.

Thanks Investors/Speculators for creating another "faux" bubble for "Profit". Hmm... where's the regulators when you need them?

-chuck22b
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Old 04-25-2008, 02:57 PM
 
Location: Chicago
38,707 posts, read 103,166,939 times
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The regulators are staying out of it because they realize that, while futures markets are imperfect mechanisms, they are nothing compared to the massive instability we would have in the supply and prices of ag commodities without them.
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Old 04-25-2008, 03:08 PM
 
Location: Chino, CA
1,458 posts, read 3,283,607 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Drover View Post
The regulators are staying out of it because they realize that, while futures markets are imperfect mechanisms, they are nothing compared to the massive instability we would have in the supply and prices of ag commodities without them.
I guess we can all take comfort and be happy in a few months or a year when prices for food/commodities drop when investors move on to something else. Hopefully farmers aren't over investing... and saving some of their current gains to weather the future price drops.

-chuck22b
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Old 04-25-2008, 03:14 PM
 
Location: America
6,993 posts, read 17,363,340 times
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^^

I agree, this is just a bubble of sorts. Same with gas prices to some extent. I think gas will play out a bit different though, I think oil prices will drop for a bit and then get back on track to its ascent toward the sky.
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Old 04-25-2008, 03:16 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,464,288 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wild Style View Post
^^

I agree, this is just a bubble of sorts. Same with gas prices to some extent. I think gas will play out a bit different though, I think oil prices will drop for a bit and then get back on track to its ascent toward the sky.
Agreed. Especially if one subscribes to the peak oil theory.
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Old 04-25-2008, 03:19 PM
 
Location: America
6,993 posts, read 17,363,340 times
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Well peak oil isnt a theory. Theory is a idea that isn't proven. Hubbert's "theory" was proven when the U.S. oil field peaked and subsequently dried up. He also said the same of the big oil field in Baku and one of the field in Columbia and those two peaked and dried up. Oil doesn't regenerate itself so it is natural that it will disappear after awhile. Oil fields being found now are harder to get too than the saudi fields and hence that cost to extract will be passed on to end users as it should be.
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Old 04-25-2008, 03:20 PM
 
Location: Chino, CA
1,458 posts, read 3,283,607 times
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Wouldn't it be neat if they created a "Water Future's market"...

I wonder if there'd be tighter regulations and restrictions on who can be in the market then? Otherwise... I guess half the world could just die since your too poor to live.

-chuck22b
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Old 04-25-2008, 03:21 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,464,288 times
Reputation: 27720
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wild Style View Post
Well peak oil isnt a theory. Theory is a idea that isn't proven. Hubbert's "theory" was proven when the U.S. oil field peaked and subsequently dried up. He also said the same of the big oil field in Baku and one of the field in Columbia and those two peaked and dried up. Oil doesn't regenerate itself so it is natural that it will disappear after awhile. Oil fields being found now are harder to get too than the saudi fields and hence that cost to extract will be passed on to end users as it should be.
Wild..ya know I was trying to not get any feathers ruffled with my statement so it was carefully worded

Not everyone thinks we have peaked..hence to them it is still a theory.

Me...I took the red pill.
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Old 04-25-2008, 03:23 PM
 
Location: America
6,993 posts, read 17,363,340 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chuck22b View Post
Wouldn't it be neat if they created a "Water Future's market"...

I wonder if there'd be tighter regulations and restrictions on who can be in the market then? Otherwise... I guess half the world could just die since your too poor to live.

-chuck22b
I am at work now but when I get home I will find this documentary you should watch. it is about water and what happens when you commercialize it. It can be really ugly!

Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyTexan View Post
Wild..ya know I was trying to not get any feathers ruffled with my statement so it was carefully worded

Not everyone thinks we have peaked..hence to them it is still a theory.

Me...I took the red pill.
what do you mean by "we"? If by "we" you mean Saudis then yeah, no one knows but them. But if by "we" you mean America then all they have to do is drive through the old oil fields in texas, they are dry and empty as hell. That is a fact that can not be denied. Well it can be denied, but it would just be silly to do so.
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