12-13-2010, 09:47 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
wavehunter007
You’re starting to sound like the typical
bitter East Coast winter fan (lol): Blizzards rage in the Midwest, snow 30 feet deep in the Intermountain West, even snow in the highlands of the middle South later this week…
but just another wimpy East Coast winter for us.
Don’t get mad at me if it is not snowing in the Tri-State area. I just offer an un-hyped perspective on what the weather will be. As I have said many times, on the East Coast it can be fleeting to get the
cold to hold AND get the moisture at the same time. This past storm was a good example, too warm on the East Coast for snow, then when the cold gets here for a few days (Tue, Wed this week), the moisture
is gone . It is often a fleeting synoptic situation to get the cold
and the moisture together it seems from Connecticut southward. Sorry, but those are the climatic facts - even if it's not what you want to hear
What is ahead
A weak system will move towards the Midwest in the coming days, then skirt through the Appalachians Wednesday night into Thursday, some light snow will fall in highlands of Virginia to northern North Carolina as the system moves out to sea around VA Beach on Friday morning. Another low/storm will move into Texas into Oklahoma and southern Kansas this weekend. This low will shot off the East Coast near Virginia on Sunday/Monday. So after this brief cold shot, the weather looks to be seasonally cold in the Northeast and rather dry right toward Christmas Day.
As of right now, there looks to be a HUGE warming pattern in early January.
As for snow …An old fasioned "green Christmas" seems about 80% on tap for us...as it looks bleak to me in the Tri-State area right through Christmas for any real snow (sorry).
PS: Try sitting in the yard and yelling over and over again...snow, snow, snow, snow...maybe that will trump climate data (lol).
Not for anything but your prediction of a big warmup next weekend were unfounded. Remember 40-50s for CT and 60's , 70's for South Carolina??. ..temps in the 40's tops with ice possible Thursday and a mix Sunday here in Charlotte. Prediction fail....just wanted to point that out.
12-14-2010, 12:48 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
wavehunter007
What, a whole half inch…look out Minneapolis, your 30 inches has nothing on us (lol).
But someone said its so rare to see snow here in December yet i keep seeing white stuff fall in December ...
Buffalo got 4 feet in 24 hours or some crazy number like that. Minneapolis is nothing.
12-14-2010, 05:48 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Good morning - I'm sure most of you have a nice coasting of white on the ground. Enjoy and drive safe.
12-14-2010, 05:56 AM
Location: Woburn, MA / W. Hartford, CT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
Good morning - I'm sure most of you have a nice coasting of white on the ground. Enjoy and drive safe.
I think it speaks volumes about our winters (or at least Decembers) when 0.5" or less becomes noteworthy!
12-14-2010, 08:01 AM
Location: USA East Coast
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
Not for anything but your prediction of a big warmup next weekend were unfounded. Remember 40-50s for CT and 60's , 70's for South Carolina??. ..temps in the 40's tops with ice possible Thursday and a mix Sunday here in Charlotte. Prediction fail....just wanted to point that out.
Well I know you’re a big winter fan too,…
but that‘s a bit of a stretch. I
never said BIG WARM UP …I DID say the whole eastern USA would see
a moderation . This is what I said on 12/09 (you can go back and read my post on page 65):
“You can see the whole East Coast will be below normal…upper 20’s F in the Tri-State (normal is in upper 30’s/low 40’s)….mid 40’s F in South Carolina (normal is 55/ 60 F)….and low 60’s in south Florida (normal is 75/78 F). However, you can see the moderation (look at the ridge pushing through from the Texas Gulf Coast to Colorado). When that gets to the east (and it will) temps will moderate 12 to 25 F on the East Coast. My guess in that next weekend (December 17, 18, 19th ..ect ?)
My point was that the extreme cold of yesterday, today, and maybe Wed…will moderate considerably in the coming days. I might have been off by about 5 to 7 F.
Here is the latest NWS point forecasts …
I overshot highs about 8 F in the Tri –State area…about 10 F in South Carolina (look at Friday however)…and only about 5 F in Miami. Considering I made a 10 day temp forecast, I don’t think that is that much of an error.
NWS New York, NY
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 37.
Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 38.
NWS Charleston, SC
Friday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65.
Saturday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55
NWS Miami - South Florida
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and breezy, with a high near 74.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
12-14-2010, 08:41 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
wavehunter007
Well I know you’re a big winter fan too,…
but that‘s a bit of a stretch. I
never said BIG WARM UP …I DID say the whole eastern USA would see
a moderation . This is what I said on 12/09 (you can go back and read my post on page 65):
“You can see the whole East Coast will be below normal…upper 20’s F in the Tri-State (normal is in upper 30’s/low 40’s)….mid 40’s F in South Carolina (normal is 55/ 60 F)….and low 60’s in south Florida (normal is 75/78 F). However, you can see the moderation (look at the ridge pushing through from the Texas Gulf Coast to Colorado). When that gets to the east (and it will) temps will moderate 12 to 25 F on the East Coast. My guess in that next weekend (December 17, 18, 19th ..ect ?)
My point was that the extreme cold of yesterday, today, and maybe Wed…will moderate considerably in the coming days. I might have been off by about 5 to 7 F.
Here is the latest NWS point forecasts …
I overshot highs about 8 F in the Tri –State area…about 10 F in South Carolina (look at Friday however)…and only about 5 F in Miami. Considering I made a 10 day temp forecast, I don’t think that is that much of an error.
NWS New York, NY
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 37.
Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 38.
NWS Charleston, SC
Friday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65.
Saturday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55
NWS Miami - South Florida
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and breezy, with a high near 74.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
How is that even close to what you said??
I mean you are off by about 10 degrees in each location!!?
Also, you picked the coast of Carolina I see
Saturday: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 47.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48
That is Columbia's weather...hardly ..60's or 70's. If that is a warmup then I don't know what to tell you. I know your point, it WILL start to moderate..but it WON'T be this weekend..or even early next week.
12-14-2010, 11:11 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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*** UPDATE ON DECEMBER 20 SNOWSTORM*** TODAY , IT WOULD BECOME NYC's BIGGEST STORM IN OUR SHORT SPAN RECORD BOOKS. CT COAST WOULD GET 2-3 FEET.
Last edited by Cambium; 12-14-2010 at 12:21 PM ..
12-14-2010, 11:16 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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12-14-2010, 11:19 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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An Absolute Monster... You know....... if this was 2 weeks out I would say its Fantasy Land...WE'RE 6 DAYS FROM IT!! At 4 days all models need to agree. They arent yet! But just take a look...We're in the Dark green precip, the bulk of the storm...the blue lines represent cold enough air to support snow, red lines warm air... Pressure at 977 is consider a Cat 3 Snowstorm! This would be insane and it would start Sunday Night!
12-14-2010, 12:47 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
An Absolute Monster... You know....... if this was 2 weeks out I would say its Fantasy Land...WE'RE 6 DAYS FROM IT!! At 4 days all models need to agree. They arent yet! But just take a look...We're in the Dark green precip, the bulk of the storm...the blue lines represent cold enough air to support snow, red lines warm air... Pressure at 977 is consider a Cat 3 Snowstorm! This would be insane and it would start Sunday Night!
? ? ? ? ? why do you do this? No chance in hell on Sunday of a major snow..you are doing it again..picking the model that suits your needs.
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People in Group quarters - Federal prisons and detention centers (%)
People in Group quarters - Halfway houses (%)
People in Group quarters - Local jails and other confinement facilities (including police lockups) (%)
People in Group quarters - Military disciplinary barracks (%)
People in Group quarters - State prisons (%)
People in Group quarters - Other types of correctional institutions (%)
People in Group quarters - Nursing homes (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospitals/wards, hospices, and schools for the handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospitals/wards and hospices for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospices or homes for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Military hospitals or wards for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Other hospitals or wards for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospitals or wards for drug/alcohol abuse (%)
People in Group quarters - Mental (Psychiatric) hospitals or wards (%)
People in Group quarters - Schools, hospitals, or wards for the mentally retarded (%)
People in Group quarters - Schools, hospitals, or wards for the physically handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Institutions for the deaf (%)
People in Group quarters - Institutions for the blind (%)
People in Group quarters - Orthopedic wards and institutions for the physically handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Wards in general hospitals for patients who have no usual home elsewhere (%)
People in Group quarters - Wards in military hospitals for patients who have no usual home elsewhere (%)
People in Group quarters - Juvenile institutions (%)
People in Group quarters - Long-term care (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for abused, dependent, and neglected children (%)
People in Group quarters - Residential treatment centers for emotionally disturbed children (%)
People in Group quarters - Training schools for juvenile delinquents (%)
People in Group quarters - Short-term care, detention or diagnostic centers for delinquent children (%)
People in Group quarters - Type of juvenile institution unknown (%)
People in Group quarters - Noninstitutionalized population (%)
People in Group quarters - College dormitories (includes college quarters off campus) (%)
People in Group quarters - Military quarters (%)
People in Group quarters - On base (%)
People in Group quarters - Barracks, unaccompanied personnel housing (UPH), (Enlisted/Officer), ;and similar group living quarters for military personnel (%)
People in Group quarters - Transient quarters for temporary residents (%)
People in Group quarters - Military ships (%)
People in Group quarters - Group homes (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes or halfway houses for drug/alcohol abuse (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for the mentally ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for the mentally retarded (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for the physically handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Other group homes (%)
People in Group quarters - Religious group quarters (%)
People in Group quarters - Dormitories (%)
People in Group quarters - Agriculture workers' dormitories on farms (%)
People in Group quarters - Job Corps and vocational training facilities (%)
People in Group quarters - Other workers' dormitories (%)
People in Group quarters - Crews of maritime vessels (%)
People in Group quarters - Other nonhousehold living situations (%)
People in Group quarters - Other noninstitutional group quarters (%)
Residents speaking English at home (%)
Residents speaking English at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking English at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking English at home - Foreign born (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Foreign born (%)
Residents speaking other language at home (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Foreign born (%)
Class of Workers - Employee of private company (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed in own incorporated business (%)
Class of Workers - Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers (%)
Class of Workers - Local government workers (%)
Class of Workers - State government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Federal government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed workers in own not incorporated business and Unpaid family workers (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - No fuel used (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - No fuel used (%)
Armed forces status - In Armed Forces (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Veteran (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Nonveteran (%)
Fatal accidents locations in years 2005-2021
Fatal accidents locations in 2005
Fatal accidents locations in 2006
Fatal accidents locations in 2007
Fatal accidents locations in 2008
Fatal accidents locations in 2009
Fatal accidents locations in 2010
Fatal accidents locations in 2011
Fatal accidents locations in 2012
Fatal accidents locations in 2013
Fatal accidents locations in 2014
Fatal accidents locations in 2015
Fatal accidents locations in 2016
Fatal accidents locations in 2017
Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)
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