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Old 05-25-2012, 02:01 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,296 posts, read 18,882,521 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
With the way they are moving NorthEast from the south and the way the NAO is negative chances are higher BUT... as time goes on wind shear will be an issue for Hurricane development believe it or not.

I'm not expecting many Tropical systems. May-July could be more active than August-October. El Ninos dont help.
Ironically there's talk of a 2nd (albeit again weak) tropical system forming before June 1. How unusual is that? Granted, it has about as much bearing on the rest of the hurricane season as an Oct. 29 snowstorm did on the rest of the winter......
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Old 05-25-2012, 06:07 PM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
26,406 posts, read 46,575,260 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
With the way they are moving NorthEast from the south and the way the NAO is negative chances are higher BUT... as time goes on wind shear will be an issue for Hurricane development believe it or not.

I'm not expecting many Tropical systems. May-July could be more active than August-October. El Ninos dont help.
The latest advisory from the CPC did not directly say that El Nino will develop by the end of the year, but they did indicate that it might. Chances are 50% or less right now.
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Old 05-26-2012, 06:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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So May 30-31 we have TS Beryl coming up the coast and OTS. Then we have another Low forming in the southern states June 1st which moves up the coast and brings us heavy rains on June 2nd.

Gotta love that Negative NAO.

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Old 05-26-2012, 07:12 AM
 
5,064 posts, read 15,899,308 times
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I am sick of the clouds and rain.
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Old 05-26-2012, 07:40 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,296 posts, read 18,882,521 times
Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
So May 30-31 we have TS Beryl coming up the coast and OTS. Then we have another Low forming in the southern states June 1st which moves up the coast and brings us heavy rains on June 2nd.

Gotta love that Negative NAO.
Wow, and if this were winter......
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Old 05-26-2012, 11:09 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Summer arrived.

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Old 05-26-2012, 11:53 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Fairfield County under a meso discussion for storms with SPC.

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Old 05-26-2012, 01:17 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Impressive structure for the cell heading towards Tarrytown into Westchester County, NY. 50k foot tops. Thunder, Lightning, and downpours. Cell not moving fast so its raining hard. Strongest part Should miss Greenwich to the south

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Old 05-26-2012, 02:43 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Well SPC got that one wrong. Storm firing up along the front all the way into New London

436 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
SOUTHWESTERN NEW LONDON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
* UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

* AT 435 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EAST HAMPTON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO EAST HADDAM...COLCHESTER...SALEM AND NORTH LYME
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Old 05-26-2012, 02:48 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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Impressive in Middlesex County! Maybe some rotation up in the clouds.

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