09-03-2011, 12:41 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read
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Reputation: 16619
KATIA UPDATE::
2 models(canadien and Euro) have it hitting (or near)New England... Whether this is just a usual model dance or a new trend; we'll have to see.
Based on these 2 runs I'll have to keep a closer on on Katia now.
09-03-2011, 03:04 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read
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Reputation: 16619
Here's the Euro at hr 168. It then moves NE and sweeps past Cape Cod. Too close for comfort.
I hate to say it but the pattern is coastal storms for us BUT... NAO is going positive so thats less of a coastal storm chance AND......... I hate being wrong. LOL OTS OTS OTS
09-03-2011, 05:59 PM
10,007 posts, read
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
Here's the Euro at hr 168. It then moves NE and sweeps past Cape Cod. Too close for comfort.
Well, as clustered as the models were for Irene, they are the complete opposite for Katia..its a crapshoot right now..would be a complete guess to make a prediction. If the low upper low / Lee gets hold of Katia she is heading to the coast..If the jet stream to the north gets hold she is out to sea..anybodies guess..
09-03-2011, 07:55 PM
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,295 posts, read
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Reputation: 5126
Looks like Lee is weakening faster than expected and moving more WEST instead of east.....that could be good for TX and for us too (less rain next week). Maybe this means Katia (which is back to a TS again!) doesn't get pulled to New England after all.....
09-03-2011, 08:18 PM
10,007 posts, read
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
7 Wishes
Looks like Lee is weakening faster than expected and moving more WEST instead of east.....that could be good for TX and for us too (less rain next week). Maybe this means Katia (which is back to a TS again!) doesn't get pulled to New England after all.....
Its moving at 4 MPH right now ..it will take its northeast turn very soon ... slowly albeit.
09-04-2011, 05:39 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Reputation: 16619
4 frames of the last Euro model. Looks like Katia will be a threat to CT, RI, MA, ME and not NYC with the way it recurves. When I say "threat" I mean its getting damn close.
It moves NW to off the coast of SC. Then moves north about 100 miles off Cape Hatteras NC, then starts to recurve away from the coast but comes pretty close on this run.
09-04-2011, 06:23 AM
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,295 posts, read
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Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jp03
Its moving at 4 MPH right now ..it will take its northeast turn very soon ... slowly albeit.
It has gone back to N from NNW and has "slowed down" to 2 mph, so you're right, anything is possible, though the Weather Channel seems to have NYC and CT on the easternmost edge of any big rain now rather than in the "meat" of it and Accuweather in talking about the cold front that is going to break the big Dallas heat wave today (one day short of the all time record of 69 days of 100+ degrees set in 1980) mentioned the possibility that Lee stays a bit further west than originally planned and gives eastern TX much needed rain.
Katia coming close to here could change all that though.
09-04-2011, 06:29 AM
10,007 posts, read
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Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by
7 Wishes
It has gone back to N from NNW and has "slowed down" to 2 mph, so you're right, anything is possible, though the Weather Channel seems to have NYC and CT on the easternmost edge of any big rain now rather than in the "meat" of it and Accuweather in talking about the cold front that is going to break the big Dallas heat wave today (one day short of the all time record of 69 days of 100+ degrees set in 1980) mentioned the possibility that Lee stays a bit further west than originally planned and gives eastern TX much needed rain.
Except the farthest southeast corner of Texas, i dont see any chance of rain in that state. They will definitely cool down but Lee will likely have no effect on them.
09-04-2011, 07:25 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read
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Reputation: 16619
Thats why the models are trending more West...Lee has slowed down! So basically if Lee stalls, Katia will hit NC and maybe New England. So all eyes on Lee now.
09-04-2011, 07:36 AM
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,295 posts, read
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Reputation: 5126
Latest update Lee is moving NE so perhaps it's "back on track"
But as just posted, at that slow a speed, who knows what's it going to do.
Also noticed that latest update NHS seems to be starting to be predicting the "turn back to sea" for Katia at 5 days.....
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Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)
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But as just posted, at that slow a speed, who knows what's it going to do. 
