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Old 09-12-2014, 07:05 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626

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Summer 2014. (June,July,August)
Nothing extreme so wont post rankings or detailed info. Just numbers.

BDR:

Average Temp: 72.4
Average Max: 80.1
Average Min: 64.6
Highest Temp: 90.0
Lowest Temp: 50.0
Precip Total: 9.58"

BDL:

Average Temp: 71.4
Average Max: 82.7
Average Min: 60.2
Highest Temp: 95.0
Lowest Temp: 44.0
Precip Total: 9.96"

 
Old 09-12-2014, 01:19 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Enjoy those 70s. Some of you might feel chilly with that wind already. Cooler air mass moving in now.

Current temps. Goodbye 70s maybe for another week for some.

It's 40s and raining in Iowa Wisconsin. We wont be like that during the day but 50s & 60s will get us into the Fall Pumpkin Football Leaf Blowing spirit.


My brother in law southeast of Buffalo told me he might have to light his stove for heat.

 
Old 09-12-2014, 04:37 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Ok, I'm getting impressed. Afternoon temp anomalies are 20-35 below normal for a large chunk of the central US. So this air mass is deep and lasting.

I think we struggle past 60s and get into the 40s at night next 5 of 7 days. Maybe 30s in Litchfield and northern CT next week
 
Old 09-13-2014, 04:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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BDL hit 50° this morning. first time since June 20th

Did you know BDL was in the 40s 4 times by now last year??? That's why we had more colors around last year by now.. the warmup beginning of this month slowed the process.

Will pick up now.

We will "struggle" past 60s now for another few days. (doesn't mean the max wont be 70+ for an hour or so)
 
Old 09-13-2014, 05:26 AM
 
Location: Branford
1,395 posts, read 1,511,834 times
Reputation: 471
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
BDL hit 50° this morning. first time since June 20th

Did you know BDL was in the 40s 4 times by now last year??? That's why we had more colors around last year by now.. the warmup beginning of this month slowed the process.

Will pick up now.

We will "struggle" past 60s now for another few days. (doesn't mean the max wont be 70+ for an hour or so)
Looks quite cool the next week but perhaps a change in the pattern next weekend. Maybe a brief warm up but the cold is coming...

Cam-So close to lighting the wood stove.. LOL

MONDAY... A MODIFIED CANADIAN HIGH WILL BUILD INTO NEW ENGLAND DURING THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST...CRESTING OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY. LOWS ON SUN NIGHT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY FOR SEPTEMBER. ALTHOUGH RECORD COLD IS NOT EXPECTED...WE MAY STILL SEE SOME MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NH/NORTHWEST MA...WHERE THIS IS A LOW RISK FOR SOME PATCHY FROST IN THE TYPICALLY COOLEST OUTLYING LOCATIONS. FOR MONDAY HIGHS...EVEN WITH FULL SUNSHINE TEMPS WILL ONLY REACH INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S...SINCE THE SUN ANGLE IS LOW. DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL.

END OF THE WORK WEEK... HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL SET UP OVER THE NORTHEAST ON WED INTO FRIDAY. THE GFS BRING AN ARCTIC FRONT ACROSS THE REGION ON WED WHILE THE EC HOLDS IT UP UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT. EITHER WAY GUIDANCE IS SHOWING 850 MB TEMPS DROPPING BELOW 0C. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS WELL BELOW AVERAGE...IN THE 60S RESULTING IN CRISP FALL LIKE TEMPS. BECAUSE OF THE DIFFERENCE...WILL CONTINUE WITH A BLEND OF PREV FORECAST AS WELL AS THE ENSEMBLES FOR NOW. EITHER WHICH WAY WE MAY NEED TO BEGIN TO WATCH FOR THE RISK FOR SOME FROST IN SOUTHWEST NH/NORTHWEST MA...WHERE WINDS CAN DECOUPLE.

OVERVIEW... OVERALL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT WITH A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONTINENT AND A FULL-LATITUDE RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA. IN FACT APPEARS THAT THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM REMAINS FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE ESP SINCE THE NAO TRENDING MORE POSITIVE FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THIS FORECAST. THE FLOW DOES BEGIN TO BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS A TROUGH DIGS OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC LEADING TO A RIDGE IN THE CENTRAL CONUS....ABOUT WHEN THE NAO BECOMES MORE NEUTRAL. HOWEVER IT LOOKS LIKE THE EASTERN CONUS WILL STILL REMAIN IN A TROUGH PATTERN THROUGH THE WORK WEEK WITH A POSSIBLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN BY NEXT WEEKEND.
 
Old 09-13-2014, 05:42 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brian26 View Post
Looks quite cool the next week but perhaps a change in the pattern next weekend. Maybe a brief warm up but the cold is coming...

Cam-So close to lighting the wood stove.. LOL
Yup. Waiting for that thread to pop up again. lol

Yeah, pretty nice stretch coming up. Gonna really feel it. Nice discussion there! They mention a bunch of things even the Sun angle being low.

Look at who was in the 30s across the U.S this morning. It's mid 50s here and its chilly I cant imagine 30s mid September.
 
Old 09-13-2014, 06:20 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,299 posts, read 18,892,517 times
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Monday might actually be a brief 1-day warmup......after a cold start they are predicting 76 for NYC so I imagine most places in CT will be 70+.....
 
Old 09-13-2014, 06:29 AM
 
Location: Branford
1,395 posts, read 1,511,834 times
Reputation: 471
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yup. Waiting for that thread to pop up again. lol

Yeah, pretty nice stretch coming up. Gonna really feel it. Nice discussion there! They mention a bunch of things even the Sun angle being low.

Look at who was in the 30s across the U.S this morning. It's mid 50s here and its chilly I cant imagine 30s mid September.
Quite cold out there across the rest of the country. Will be interesting to see the lows for Sunday night. I have this feeling we are in for another COLD winter.. These temps are well below normal for this time of year...

 
Old 09-13-2014, 07:17 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,166,459 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brian26 View Post
Quite cold out there across the rest of the country. Will be interesting to see the lows for Sunday night. I have this feeling we are in for another COLD winter.. These temps are well below normal for this time of year...
LOL ..so a cold front comes through in mid September and that means we are in for a cold winter. Too funny.

Wait ..since it was hot as hell last week here does that mean we might be in for a warm winter????? Long term weather forecasting.....Hilarious..
 
Old 09-13-2014, 08:24 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
LOL ..so a cold front comes through in mid September and that means we are in for a cold winter. Too funny.
Not about the front itself. It's the pattern.. this has been happening for 10 months now. Talking about the well below normal temps for widespread area of U.S into NorthEast. It's about the digging of the Polar Jet stream that keeps happening. So yes... if this pattern continues it means cold winter. Plus it was an opinion not a forecast.

The warmup we had was funny. Only 2 weeks compared to this deep impressive cold air and the warm anomalies were no where near the cold anomalies.

From NWS Boston.. note... An Arctic front coming DURING this cool period. The entire pattern has been the same for almost a year now. If this keeps happening.... well.. just think... what is 10-25 below normal for Highs&Lows in January.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
727 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

END OF THE WORK WEEK...
HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL SET UP OVER THE NORTHEAST ON WED
INTO FRIDAY. THE GFS BRING AN ARCTIC FRONT ACROSS THE REGION ON
WED WHILE THE EC HOLDS IT UP UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT. EITHER WAY
GUIDANCE IS SHOWING 850 MB TEMPS DROPPING BELOW 0C. THIS WILL KEEP
TEMPS WELL BELOW AVERAGE IN THE 60S RESULTING IN CRISP FALL LIKE
TEMPS.
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