COVID-19 General Colorado Thread (Center: neighborhood, shopper, move)

[BornintheSprings]

Originally Posted by interloper1138

Thank you for doing this. I'm lucky enough to be able to work remotely right now but I've got so many friends that aren't able to work as a result of all of the closures. Actions like this mean a lot.

Reading this article inspired my decision. https://komonews.com/news/coronaviru...ue-to-covid-19

[BornintheSprings]

Originally Posted by brightdoglover

My tenant who works a second job as petsitter just lost all 12 clients yesterday. I've cut their rent down to the bone for the duration of this emergency.

Excellent move

[Miss Hepburn]

Originally Posted by Robert5

But 30 days for the entire State seems excessive.

I still think it is, too - little farming towns out east can't have breakfast at their usual Diner?
Or have a beer together? No one is flying in from Milan or Sydney there.

I'm being ridiculous - it takes ONE person to drive thru from a Ski Resort town
back to Nebraska and have lunch to infect everyone....all 200 people out there.
Then, what would they do?

[bluescreen73]

This is from an article I intentionally linked from the Fox News website so it can't immediately be dismissed as "fake news" by the goobers who still believe this is a nothingburger.

https://www.foxnews.com/us/when-will...ning-the-curve

"A report released on Monday by an epidemic modeling group at Imperial College London paints a stark picture on how the numbers of infected could grow in the U.S. and the U.K. if efforts are not made to slow the spread of the virus.

If no control measures or spontaneous changes in individual behavior are undertaken, authors noted that a peak in daily deaths could occur in about three months, somewhere around June 20 in the U.S. In an unmitigated epidemic, scientists predict around 2.2 million deaths in the U.S., which doesn't account for the effects of health systems being overwhelmed in regards to mortality."

The bolded means if we do nothing 2.2 million will die even if the hospitals aren't overwhelmed. If the healthcare system gets crushed, the number will be significantly higher.

[Vision67]

Originally Posted by Miss Hepburn

I still think it is, too - little farming towns out east can't have breakfast at their usual Diner?
Or have a beer together? No one is flying in from Milan or Sydney there.

I'm being ridiculous - it takes ONE person to drive thru from a Ski Resort town
back to Nebraska and have lunch to infect everyone....all 200 people out there.
Then, what would they do?

It's likely that a rural hospital would have at most 1 ventilator because they cost about $24K.

It's also likely that in a rural area most residents are elderly.

So if you are the doctor with two simultaneous cases, who gets the ventilator?

[vunderbar]

Current death rate in the US is 2% of those infected (5000 cases, 100 deaths)

Assuming even a 50% infection rate (currently it's believed it could be as high as 70+%) that's approx 160+ million infections
Which at 2% death rate is 3,200,00 deaths.

With quarantine efforts these numbers should fall... but tens of thousands of deaths remains a very scary and real possibility.

[BarryK123]

Originally Posted by vunderbar

Current death rate in the US is 2% of those infected (5000 cases, 100 deaths)

There is no way to accurately determine how many are infected as testing is not universally available.

[vunderbar]

Originally Posted by BarryK123

There is no way to accurately determine how many are infected as testing is not universally available.

True. This is based on known data which we know are incomplete. The actual infection numbers may be dramatically higher. As could the number of potential deaths.

[coschristi]

My daughter is home from CU.

There have been non-reported quarantines at CU, involving both faculty & students; on & off camps & one of the "quarantees" is her math partner. She is the one with asthma.

She will be staying at my step-sons house, because he had an extra room, her twin already rents from him & that way we minimize exposure to her dad (who is 64 & had pneumonia a few months ago) & her developmentally disabled brother.

CU has also cancelled graduation. Students returning next year will get a credit towards their dorms, which won't help my daughter much because she & 4 other marching band kids (she plays for the Buffs) have already signed a lease to rent a house from my cousin Barb who owns a lot of RE up in Boulder & rents to CU kids.

Yesterday when it was nice I took son & dog to Garden of the Gods & got some good exercise & sun & that made me feel better. Today was just gloomy & depressing.

Thank GOD they shut down the gyms before my dad gave me a heart attack.

[katharsis]

Originally Posted by vunderbar

Current death rate in the US is 2% of those infected (5000 cases, 100 deaths)

Assuming even a 50% infection rate (currently it's believed it could be as high as 70+%) that's approx 160+ million infections Which at 2% death rate is [3,200,00 deaths.

With quarantine efforts these numbers should fall... but tens of thousands of deaths remains a very scary and real possibility.

To say it AGAIN, there are many, many people walking around with the virus who have no symptoms and (therefore) have not been tested. If the actual numbers of infected people were known, the rate would be lower, not higher. The actual fatality rate is estimated at 0.5%, and that is based on the Diamond Princess. Please read the following, and note that the author, Tina Hesman Saey, is the senior staff writer and reports on molecular biology. She has a Ph.D. in molecular genetics from Washington University in St. Louis and a master’s degree in science journalism from Boston University.

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/...hip-death-rate