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Old 09-18-2021, 03:18 PM
Status: "Dad01=CHIMERIQUE" (set 19 days ago)
 
Location: Flovis
2,936 posts, read 2,043,828 times
Reputation: 2634

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84f at 2pm
We might get to 100 again in a few days
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Old 09-18-2021, 10:45 PM
 
Location: Juneau, AK + Puna, HI
10,618 posts, read 7,839,052 times
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Looks like Valdez might get off to an early start with tallying snow this fall.
This coming weeks’ forecast:

Tuesday
Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 37. Northeast wind 25 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Wednesday
A chance of snow before 4pm, then rain likely, possibly mixed with snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37.
Wednesday Night
Rain and snow likely, becoming all snow after 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 25.
Thursday
Snow likely before 10am, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 38.
Thursday Night
Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28.
Friday
Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 40.
Friday Night
Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28.
Saturday
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40.
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Old 09-19-2021, 06:45 AM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,701,108 times
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Close to 90 degrees away from the Lake today but then a major pattern change with high temps in the 60s by Wednesday




All this talk about a blow torch autumn moving forward.... the teleconnections using the ECMWF model would argue for a cold autumn for the eastern two thirds


Arctic Oscillation negative. Especially the control run






NAO looks negative to neutral






PNA goes hugely positive in the control run. Literally off the chart






And then Ben Noll says early SSW even is possible in November that could usher in a brutally cold start to winter with an emphasis on the Northeast in terms of coastal storms





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Old 09-19-2021, 06:48 AM
 
30,513 posts, read 21,402,176 times
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No blue for FL.
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Old 09-19-2021, 07:00 AM
 
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GFS latest forecast run for ORD shows maybe one more (final?) 90 degree day today. Then temps jump all over the place but no 90s beyond




Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
No blue for FL.

Well in the immediate forecast the GEFS shows some blue over you in the 6-10 day







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Old 09-19-2021, 07:19 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
GFS latest forecast run for ORD shows maybe one more (final?) 90 degree day today. Then temps jump all over the place but no 90s beyond







Well in the immediate forecast the GEFS shows some blue over you in the 6-10 day






That would only be due to clouds this time of year. Unless we get a freaky two days like i did in 1980 on Sept 17th and 18th when Tampa was 62f and 58f at my house. I mean that is a 500 year event never to be seen again in my lifetime.
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Old 09-19-2021, 09:13 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,666,308 times
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82°F with a 84°F heat index at 8am, headed to 100°F this afternoon (Phoenix, AZ)

Today's averages are 100°F/77°F
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Old 09-19-2021, 03:15 PM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,701,108 times
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Hit 90 degrees here today. MDW is at 88F as well as ORD

What the heck? Where is the cold shot on the Euro? Must be just marginally cold on a couple days and thus overwhelmed by the number of above normal days.







12Z GFS definitely not seeing the same pattern LOL Much cooler in fact most days below to well below average with highs just in the 50s on a few days in week two.




Not much precip here either but the eastern Midwest will get in on some rains. Also good to see at least some rains in the PNW

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Old 09-19-2021, 03:34 PM
 
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I would die for highs in the 50's this time of year.
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Old 09-19-2021, 04:38 PM
 
Location: Juneau, AK + Puna, HI
10,618 posts, read 7,839,052 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
I would die for highs in the 50's this time of year.
That's us here in SE Alaska. Usually comes with a great deal of wetness though.
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