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Old 11-02-2020, 06:08 PM
 
Location: New York Area
35,035 posts, read 16,987,357 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shalop View Post
^Yes, I'm aware that the odds are not stacked in my favor this year, but there can be plenty of surprises even in winters with overall terrible (warm/mild) prospects. But even if there are no such surprises, a mild winter still features plenty of decent weather, like 30s/40s and cold rain which I enjoy (it's the next-best thing if I can't get subfreezing temps and snow).
The winter of 2015-6 was one such winter. A record snowfall in NYC, 27.1" and -1F° on Valentine's Day, first below zero readings since January 1994, though we touched 0° in 2004 and maybe one or two other times. Overall the winter was very warm. Didn't get below freezing until after Christmas, maybe not in December. Also a raging El Niño.
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Old 11-08-2020, 07:06 AM
 
29,512 posts, read 19,610,114 times
Reputation: 4536
ECMWF has a warm forecast for this winter



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Old 11-08-2020, 07:28 AM
 
30,425 posts, read 21,234,977 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
ECMWF has a warm forecast for this winter


Bank on it.
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Old 11-08-2020, 08:26 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,594,858 times
Reputation: 9169
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
ECMWF has a warm forecast for this winter


If that pans out, I'll be happy. Would mean a lot of 70s and even 80s here
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Old 11-08-2020, 08:30 AM
 
30,425 posts, read 21,234,977 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
If that pans out, I'll be happy. Would mean a lot of 70s and even 80s here
You can keep that above normal stuff. I want another 1983-84 fall - winter when Tampa was 19f. My winter will be 10f + above normal this year.
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Old 11-08-2020, 08:56 AM
 
29,512 posts, read 19,610,114 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
If that pans out, I'll be happy. Would mean a lot of 70s and even 80s here

I'll most likely be in Phoenix for a couple weeks in January and wouldn't mind enjoying some warm weather for a while. However the ECMWF is known for a warm bias in the eastern 2/3rds. I bet the winter actually turns out something like this forecast says which is more typical of a La Nina and not far from NOAA's probability forecast




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Old 11-08-2020, 09:35 AM
 
30,425 posts, read 21,234,977 times
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That brighter red will be over FL. Or i should say 100% above normal.
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Old 11-08-2020, 04:52 PM
 
29,512 posts, read 19,610,114 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
That brighter red will be over FL. Or i should say 100% above normal.
Well for those of us looking for a quick start to winter like myself, won't like what the models show for the end of November start of December right now.








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Old 11-08-2020, 05:24 PM
 
30,425 posts, read 21,234,977 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Well for those of us looking for a quick start to winter like myself, won't like what the models show for the end of November start of December right now.







Well i have had 9 years of above normal temps so what does that say? Something is very wrong to go 9 years and no cold weather.
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Old 11-09-2020, 04:44 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shalop View Post
Looking forward to winter. As usual, I hope we get several feet of snow and several arctic blasts.
I'm so ready. Need to make up for last year.


Here are my backyard snow totals since 2011-12.


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