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I know I wanted a front loaded winter as opposed to another back loaded winter, but this is too soon lol. No winter at all would be best. I wish November was as cold as it gets.
I know I wanted a front loaded winter as opposed to another back loaded winter, but this is too soon lol. No winter at all would be best. I wish November was as cold as it gets.
The weekly forecast is fine, don't trust the fake long-range models.
I know I wanted a front loaded winter as opposed to another back loaded winter, but this is too soon lol. No winter at all would be best. I wish November was as cold as it gets.
lol. Just think.. get it out of the way now and we'll probably get an early Spring with 50s in February and 60s in March. I'm ready for that for a change. Lets dive deep with cold and snow Dec-Jan.
NWS Boston bit more conservative than NWS Lexington.
Quote:
National Weather Service Taunton MA
1008 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2017
*/ Highlights...
- Shot of wet weather Thursday night into Friday
- Mainly high pressure thereafter through Monday
- Monitoring high astronomical tides
- Pattern shift towards mid-December, possible Arctic air
*/ Overview...
Pattern shift emerging towards mid-December per ensemble guidance.
Interrogating, persistence of low pressure across the N Pacific as
the present phase 4 MJO transitions towards phase 5/6 yields an
increasing pump of warm-moist air across the NE Pacific into NW N
America. Subsequent ridging, Arctic air is dislodged and sheared
southward towards Central and E N America, hence -EPO/+PNA trends,
along with Pacific energy being cut-off over the SW CONUS from the
mid-latitude flow.
A distinct measure of uncertainty as ensemble means point towards a broad W to E ridge-trof pattern across the CONUS, yet however what is unclear are both the upstream and downstream forces which would influence the region most favorable for storm development, if any, and if such, on what side of the envelope do we reside? Also to keep in mind is how long it would last. We`re talking a forecast that is out roughly 10 days that has a lot of moving parts. Lots of unknowns at this time synoptically.
Tuesday and beyond...
While the general pattern has been outlined in the OVERVIEW above,
the exact specifics and outcomes remain uncertain. Not even clear is the magnitude and depth for which cold air will spill S into the NE CONUS. Given poor sampling of associated players, will hold off on any further discussion.
Yeah yeah yeah, at the rate things are going now, your location may not even have a hard freeze all winter long, meanwhile watch portions of the Midwest or Northeast have a winter with even more vicious cold waves than the winter of 2013-2014 or 2014-2015
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