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Old 11-10-2017, 09:34 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
19.4°C with a dewpoint of 7.8°C at 9am Mountain Time
My wife and kids are in Surprise AZ all week. She said it was 86 degrees there yesterday and that they were in the pool all day LOL



Monster Greenland Block forming

https://twitter.com/Forecas55175638/...16133247696897

 
Old 11-10-2017, 09:38 AM
 
Location: Seoul
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If we're gonna have a Greenland block, better now and December, instead of in spring
 
Old 11-10-2017, 09:48 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Monster Greenland Block forming

Quote:
Originally Posted by Warszawa View Post
If we're gonna have a Greenland block, better now and December, instead of in spring
I totally agree! In fact we had early big blocking in Nov-Dec 2010 and we all know what happened then. (well, not all of us knows, lol) Boxing Day Blizzard followed by 3 more big snowstorms. 64" of snow within 4 weeks here Dec 26-Jan 27 Lets repeat!




7:40-11:40am loop. We're getting Lake Ontario Effect clouds down here but check out off Lake Huron, purely a northerly flow and interesting off Lake Michigan that band is moving SouthWest hence the Chicago snow squalls


 
Old 11-10-2017, 09:51 AM
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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Unlike some previous arctic blasts, no lake effect clouds reached here; all clear
 
Old 11-10-2017, 10:20 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Unlike some previous arctic blasts, no lake effect clouds reached here; all clear
I think I see why.


this is the wind flow at 4000'.. Looks like your getting it from the tip of Lake Ontario, not even, but the clouds are evaporating before reaching there but since I'm getting it from Central part of the lake its more moist and reaching here but still mostly sunny day here


Watch what happens tomorrow for you







Winds at the mid levels turn from the North so no Lake Effect clouds this time for you.





As of 11am this morning the Arctic front has moved off the MD, NJ, NY, and New England coast.


And High Pressure is moving in so winds will relax tomorrow


 
Old 11-10-2017, 11:39 AM
 
Location: Gatineau, Québec
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post




Looks like Toronto changed to snow past couple hours. Not sure how much they're getting but looks cold and snowy behind this front.



Looks like they barely got any in Toronto. Maybe just a few flurries.


Areas to the north of Toronto barely an hour away like Barrie got amounts that were shovellable though. But that's a classic snow belt area.


Here in Ottawa-Gatineau we got heavy flurries for maybe 30-60 minutes when the cold front went through last night. Some of it settled on the grass but either sank in or was blown away by the wind. There was barely any visible snow left this morning.


Puddles were all iced over though.


Bright sunshine and cold with strong winds since I got up this morning.


-7C or 20F at lunch time with -15C or 5F wind chill.
 
Old 11-10-2017, 11:53 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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1:45pmEST Wind Chill values. Wind still gusting here to 30mph making it feel like 20s


Is that 3F in Binghamton?




Zoomed in





Current Upper Heights


The vortex is leaving. No blocking in the North Atlantic to slow it down.


 
Old 11-10-2017, 12:06 PM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
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26.7°C with a dewpoint of 7.8°C at noon Mountain Time
 
Old 11-10-2017, 12:18 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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So back to this real quick.. I was semi right but nice to brush up on it again..

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/foreca.../forecast.html

Not buying the PNA not being positive, I think there will be some ridging out west.
Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
I'm pretty sure we will have a ridge out west here, we are supposed to be above normal every day in the NWS 7 day
So Yes, a Positive PNA = Western Ridge but it is shown when the ridge is more west than central U.S and peaking up to Canada.. More like Pacific/Western U.S/Canada..


It's also when the upper height is above normal in the West (not central).


So the reason why the PNA is not positive now, and you're above normal, is because there's no above normal height anomaly in the PacNW right now and models aren't forecasting for it to be.


So the Southwest can still be above normal at the surface with a negative PNA because the trough isn't reaching that far south. Hope this post helps.


Couple of graphics with better explanations with links!

Source:

Source:








 
Old 11-10-2017, 01:41 PM
 
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