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Models hinting at winter blast. Lot's of snow. I see parallels with Mar 1930. That Feb was also VERY mild followed by late March blizzard in Chicago dropping over 22" on Midway on the 25th-26th.
all of them seem consistently to the south hitting the Mid Atlantic rather than New England
Yup, definitely trended south more past 2 days. Less precip chances for Hartford, more for NYC. but still time, I seen models trend back towards where they were from a week out.
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge
Models hinting at winter blast. Lot's of snow. I see parallels with Mar 1930. That Feb was also VERY mild followed by late March blizzard in Chicago dropping over 22" on Midway on the 25th-26th.
Pattern is crazy and more crazy is the cold air available.
Quote:
Originally Posted by in_newengland
I guessed Burlington because I think they have the longest winter season and they have been getting snow.
But I am clueless!
Interesting poll actually because while Burlington and Caribou have the advantage using all of March, if this storm this weekend drops a foot of snow in Philly then Philly may end up getting more than Burlington this month. Like in March 2015. 12" for PHL while only 4" for BTV
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge
This run would give Chicago nearly 10"
Nice to see ChiTown get involved!
American NAM model only goes out to 84 hrs. (3.5 days)
Here's the last frame Thursday 7pmEST.. Snowing in ND and Minneapolis and it's coming.
So NAM long range showing this 1st storm on the map as well.
New GFS has a big hit for D.C area. Wonder what their forecasts show right now. lol '
Just misses Lexington with snow coming across. Boston misses out on this run. Dry there, Light snow Hartford. Heavier snows south more. 10-12" D.C & Philly area. Richmond gets in on it too.
weekend snowstorm appears to be following the edge of the cold air masses in the Great Lakes / Northeast. Cold air needs to penetrates not quite as far south for a more notherly track. GFS 12z slowly being released has a weekend storm with no snow for Massachusetts outside South Coast / Cape
weekend snowstorm appears to be following the edge of the cold air masses in the Great Lakes / Northeast. Cold air needs to penetrates not quite as far south for a more notherly track. GFS 12z slowly being released has a weekend storm with no snow for Massachusetts outside South Coast / Cape
Ahhh, nice catch. I wish I had more knowledge to explain why. I remember Steve D had a lot of the science aspect of things. I haven't been following him much lately and usually he teaches for his paid subscriber members. It has to do with the trough. The Jet Stream. The gradient of warmth and cold and the spinning of a storm. Storms ride near the Jet stream so where it sets up will be where the storm is. If it digs down more than the storm can come up the coast. If it doesn't that it will scoot out south of us and Out to Sea.
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