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Old 04-13-2017, 04:55 AM
 
Location: The canyon (with my pistols and knife)
14,188 posts, read 22,789,353 times
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That Bermuda high is giving me visions of another 1993 if it holds up for another month or two. That was a hot summer in the South, the Northeast and the Ohio Valley.

Of course, if **** happens near Greenland or the Canadian maritimes, then we could end up with another 1986 instead.
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Old 04-13-2017, 05:42 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,580 posts, read 75,545,909 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Craziaskowboi View Post
That Bermuda high is giving me visions of another 1993 if it holds up for another month or two. That was a hot summer in the South, the Northeast and the Ohio Valley..
Yeah, and if that thing gets stuck there get ready for constant humid weather as well. Hard to get that dry NW flow with that thing there. I like warmth but the humidity is death.


Take a look at the avg setup May 16-30, 2015. This is a period when we had dewpoints in the muggy 60s here. In May. Very high. Either Bermuda High or a SouthEast Ridge can do that with a southerly type flow.





Now take a look at JUNE 13-15, 2016 setup when we had dry dew points in the 40s & 50s. We had a NW flow thanks to a counterclockwise Upper Low.




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Old 04-13-2017, 06:51 AM
 
29,576 posts, read 19,683,964 times
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Way way out there.... But I'll post it anyway

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...82978278240256
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Old 04-13-2017, 06:57 AM
 
Location: Seoul
11,554 posts, read 9,346,927 times
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LaGuardia airport is at +5.0 anomaly for the month, could be interesting to watch
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Old 04-13-2017, 07:07 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/EdValleeWx/statu...89625352450048



ZERO chance of this being a 2012 repeat. Not even close


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Old 04-13-2017, 07:43 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,957,427 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Sunday seems to be the next hottest day for next 10 days for Northeast.


4 Maps.


Here's max temps Sunday from GFS00z





Northeast view





Here's the Upper flow. No defined ridge in East but there's a zonal flow (which typically leads to warm temps in East). So whats causing the temp surge into the 70s/80s again?





Here's a look at the projected 850mb temps. This is why, not Global Warming. You have a Bermuda High at the surface and Mid Level of the atmosphere with a southerly flow...


AND you have pockets of 12-14°C temps at 5000' and that's causing the surface to spike up. Rest of East 10C which is very warm for mid April.


80'sF are too warm for April. The extended Euro 15 day looks perfect with every single day except Sunday in the 60's day and 40'sF night. Perfect.
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Old 04-13-2017, 08:50 AM
 
Location: C: Home R: Monroe CT, Climate:Dfa
1,916 posts, read 1,462,331 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Way way out there.... But I'll post it anyway

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...82978278240256
These 3 runs from the CFS are sort of at odds.





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Old 04-13-2017, 09:02 AM
 
29,576 posts, read 19,683,964 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yankeefan93 View Post
These 3 runs from the CFS are sort of at odds.






Canadian and GFS hinting at cooling trend as we approach May.







Here is why

https://twitter.com/antmasiello/stat...87128588144640
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Old 04-13-2017, 09:07 AM
 
Location: Seoul
11,554 posts, read 9,346,927 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
I see lately you switched to Celsius. Most of people on this thread are from U.S now and most are lazy to do conversions. LOL But yeah....... looks like seasonable/above normal is the new pattern now. No more Jet stream dips/cold shots.
I actually use them interchangeably lol, I'm too used to using both


I think when talking about comfort it's easier to use Fahrenheit, but for forecasts it's easier to use Celsius. 20/8, 17/6, 22/10 reads a lot easier than 55/48, 49/37, 59/49. But when talking about comfort, it's much easier to say that you want 60s in March, 70s in April. As opposed to saying that you like 16 to 21 degree weather in March, and then 21 to 26 degree weather in April
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Old 04-13-2017, 11:19 AM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,419,582 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Canadian and GFS hinting at cooling trend as we approach May.







Here is why

https://twitter.com/antmasiello/stat...87128588144640
Yeah, cool down on way for start of may seems likely. Hopefully not really below average and just seasonable to slightly below.
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