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Old 05-04-2016, 08:16 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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SPC 500mb Heights for Thursday




so is Albert right on the ridge? Weird northwest bulge in the frontal system over Alberta

Daily Weather Map
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Old 05-04-2016, 08:16 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alex985 View Post
The difference between Fort McMurray and Inuvik is impressive. The Arctic Ocean in spring is solidly frozen still, so it has a huge influence to anywhere close to it.
wonder if that makes it especially windy?
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Old 05-04-2016, 08:20 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
wonder if that makes it especially windy?
Hmmmmm....looking at these observations, it doesn't seem overly windy there:





https://www.wunderground.com/history...eqdb.wmo=71364



Wind was blowing out of the WNW though, so straight off the ocean. I imagine even a slight breeze off of a frozen ocean will have a huge impact on the temperatures.
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Old 05-05-2016, 04:14 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
SPC 500mb Heights for Thursday


so is Albert right on the ridge? Weird northwest bulge in the frontal system over Alberta
Yup, that's why they were getting torched. Kinda interesting it's not happening under the center of the ridge but more so at the top. Not sure about the buldge, probably just a little kink in the Jet there. Also remember, this is Thursdays image so they were more under that Ridge and now it's shifting East so they are on the edge about to get a break. Omega Block.




Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Warmer in some spots in northern Quebec than here. Sun there?
Yeah, most likely sun shined on them, not sure. Interesting catch though.


So here we are.........Waking up to clouds on Day #5 in a row now.


Euro says Monday is when we see the sun but then clouds move in Tuesday and then stick around until Sunday. Really?? Geesus!!


Here is the latest Euro for my area.. No Hot pattern in sight, nor Cold either. Clouds will keep us warm at night (normal) and cool during the day (below normal).


I highlighted the 60s next 10 days and the precip days. Keep in mind these aren't the max temps from the model, just for that hour. Like Sunday very well can be in the 60s. Wednesday morning in the 60s will feel Summerish!


But generally a below normal pattern with bouts of warmth and cool.





Mid May. Mid May. Mid May I have been repeating for weeks now. That's when the turn around would be but that may not even be so anymore. Could be end of month. We'll see.
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Old 05-05-2016, 04:14 AM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
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66.5F here right now, cool for May. Forecast to drop to 61F tomorrow night, we definatly won't see temps this low again until at October.
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Old 05-05-2016, 04:19 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Perfect time to see the difference of a Cutoff Low (Trough) over the West Coast vs Southeast US

It's 40s down to northern Gulf coast this morning but only 50s on the West coast. Same type of Cut Off cool pool low but different results because of the Pacific influence.



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Old 05-05-2016, 04:30 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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A look at the current Upper Wind Flow (Jet Stream). Winds are from the north From Canada down to Louisiana and from the south from North Carolina to Eastern Canada.

So if you are a Pilot flying from Kentucky to CT, you'll experience or realize the wind shifts aloft.. Also, its below freezing at 4000' over Kentucky right now.





Usually in May the Jet looks like this... A bit flatter and north more





Last one, sorry... Current Temps at 9000 feet.





Wait... last one, too much fun... Where's winter? lol


Current temps at 4500 feet. See why Alberta was torching? I see moisture over the below freezing bullseye over Kentucky. Any 4000 foot mountain peaks there?


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Old 05-05-2016, 04:31 AM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
A look at the current Upper Wind Flow (Jet Stream). Winds are from the north From Canada down to Louisiana and from the south from North Carolina to Eastern Canada.





Usually in May the Jet looks like this... A bit flatter and north more

Despite the highly "anomolous" pattern, records aren't even being threatened...why?
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Old 05-05-2016, 04:49 AM
 
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Record heat sends mammoth Canadian wildfire out of control; upper winds bring its smoke into Lower 48; warmth heads for Chicago Friday, but it won


At least tomorrow will be nice

RPM's take on metro area temps




Seven day forecast fore ORD

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Old 05-05-2016, 05:01 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AJ1013 View Post
Despite the highly "anomolous" pattern, records aren't even being threatened...why?
Good question. Typically an amplified pattern means just that or at least close. Well, we seen record hot temps happen in Canada, why not record cold on the other side?


The airmass at 5000' is simply not cold enough. The coldest pocket is well north by Hudson bay and didn't flow down into the U.S. It's actually above freezing at 5000 feet in Quebec. So the air mass aloft is simply not cold enough for record cold. There might be some locations that are coming close maybe especially near the Cut Off low in the OV or Mid Atlantic?


Also factor in Clouds. With a cloudy night in Spring there has to be some crazy cold airmass happening for record lows.


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