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I wish you would stop posting these useless maps. How accurate have they been so far this winter?
The models got December right
Here is the EC
and the CFSv2 did well too...
Quote:
The CFS had Feb torched at the end of Jan.
Maybe earlier in January it did. But this is what the CFS had on Jan 30th for the month of Feb
^^
I don't think it will end up nearly this cold.
Quote:
Yeah, that didn't work out well since currently we are looking at the same negative anomalies as last Feb.
Sometimes the models get it right sometimes they don't. The EC does a better job then the CFSv2. They are a forecast tool. If they were completely useless then they wouldn't be used by met agencies all over the world....
Last edited by chicagogeorge; 02-09-2016 at 10:10 AM..
It was rather foolish to predict a warm February during an El Nino year, seeing as how El Nino years are notoriously back-loaded for the most part. Especially in the South.
It was rather foolish to predict a warm February during an El Nino year, seeing as how El Nino years are notoriously back-loaded for the most part. Especially in the South.
February isn't over, after this cold weekend current forecasts are predicting back to mild weather.
This year's February is nothing compared to last year, parts of the Northeast were like fifteen degrees below average for the whole month! There were days, weeks even, when I didnt even leave my house except for going to class. The entire month had a forecast like this weekend does
It was rather foolish to predict a warm February during an El Nino year, seeing as how El Nino years are notoriously back-loaded for the most part. Especially in the South.
Agreed. However, it depends how fast El Nino fades. I think that we here in the Midwest will see near normal or above normal anomalies for February (as was the case in January).
February isn't over, after this cold weekend current forecasts are predicting back to mild weather.
I guess I was speaking more in terms of the South. February is typically the coldest winter month during El Nino, the opposite during La Nina (December is the coldest, while February is the warmest).
Yes - 2015 is was almost Mediterranean as well. December got 9.82" of rain and June got only 3.60". What an odd and ****ty year 2015 was. I never would have thought halfway through the year that we would have ended up above normal precipitation for 2015.
Not really, only visible symptom was dry/brown grass in June.
This, and the fact that plants retained their greenery a lot longer than normal this dry season. Usually the grass can get quite brown and some deciduous trees go bare here during the dry, cool season but thanks to the ridiculously mild and wet December the trees looked no different from summer. Over the last week or so is when I've noticed that it's finally looking more "winter-like" down here.
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