Summer 2015 Thread - Northern Hemisphere (recorded, day, storm, season)

[Thunder98]

Wonder if all the rain in the Central US will make it another cooler than normal summer plus an strengthening El Nino.

[Cambium]

Ha, forgot there was a Summer thread, lets hope this pattern we currently have doesn't happen in the summer. Otherwise triple digit readings will be around a lot in the East and Ohio Valley! Heat Waves as well

SE Ridge flexed its muscles past 2 weeks and showed us it still has it.

[Wildcat15]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Ha, forgot there was a Summer thread, lets hope this pattern we currently have doesn't happen in the summer. Otherwise triple digit readings will be around a lot in the East and Ohio Valley! Heat Waves as well

SE Ridge flexed its muscles past 2 weeks and showed us it still has it.

Yeah I am hoping for a rainy/humid summer, not high pressure heat waves.

[chicagogeorge]

Originally Posted by Thunder98

Wonder if all the rain in the Central US will make it another cooler than normal summer plus an strengthening El Nino.

It might, but so far most of the excess rain has been in Texas, Oklahoma and the Southern Midwest.

The Upper Midwest is still pretty dry

[Mr.Sir]

Originally Posted by G8RCAT

Yeah I am hoping for a rainy/humid summer, not high pressure heat waves.

Same here, except I'm in the south, so we're basically dead. (At least it's dry heat, humidity has been low)

[Thunder98]

Hope the Southwest and Southern/Central California have a very active monsoon season. Not a boring cool summer with the marine layer everyday.

[ral31]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

It might, but so far most of the excess rain has been in Texas, Oklahoma and the Southern Midwest.

The Upper Midwest is still pretty dry

Yeah, hoping all of the rain in Texas will mean a wet, cooler than normal summer here. I hate when we are under the influence of the high pressure that builds over Texas.

[Wildcat15]

Originally Posted by Mr.Sir

Same here, except I'm in the south, so we're basically dead. (At least it's dry heat, humidity has been low)

Huh? The south has the most storms of all. Although I think upstate SC tends to be drier.

[chicagogeorge]

Interesting. Maybe a warmer than averages (not hot) summer here. Could be very wet (muggy) according to this model.

The May update of the NMME model was just released tonight. It continues to signal a warm/dry summer across western Canada, while there is plenty of uncertainty across eastern Canada.
In terms of El Nino, the NMME has now trended toward a fairly strong El Nino by the upcoming Autumn. Personally, I am still leaning toward a moderate strength El Nino, but I also feel there is a higher chance of this EL Nino peaking as strong in strength compared to weak, which it is currently.
Below is the latest NMME outlook for the upcoming summer (J/J/A) in terms of temperature and precipitation departures. Once again, the model insists on a very warm summer for western Canada and plenty of rainfall for the U.S. Rockies and Plains

[chicagogeorge]

Let's see how the NNME did last summer