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Polar Vortex vs the SouthEast Ridge. Which will give in and WHEN!?
Both putting up fights for the Eastern corners. The real March Madness.
And no severe storm outbreak has folks scratching their heads. Looks like a cut off low in the SouthWest as well
When you get a Vortex sitting that low in NorthAmerica you can assure yourself it wont get warm/hot in the Eastern U.S north of Mid Atlantic in Spring/Summer.
Model Guidance Guidance&model=gfs&area=namer&cycle=20150319%2012% 20UTC¶m=500_vort_ht&fourpan=no&imageSize=M&ps= model
Reading these last few posts reminds me of UK summers between 2007-2012.
Indeed. We are in a rut, and it doesn't seem to be ending anytime soon. When you scroll thru the days on the Euro model, it is amazing how that ridge in the west just remains endlessly. Nothing it seems can break that thing up. This is over two years now with, give or take, with that ridge just persisting. Somehow it seems those sort of ridges never set up shop over the east endlessly like that. Here they seem more hit and miss.
Indeed. We are in a rut, and it doesn't seem to be ending anytime soon. When you scroll thru the days on the Euro model, it is amazing how that ridge in the west just remains endlessly. Nothing it seems can break that thing up. This is over two years now with, give or take, with that ridge just persisting. Somehow it seems those sort of ridges never set up shop over the east endlessly like that. Here they seem more hit and miss.
It is a positive feedback loop. Warmer than average SSTs off the West Coast in the Pacific ocean yield to more stable high pressure systems, and that leads to upper level flow pattern consistency across the North American continent.
I don't see how anyone in the eastern half of this country can think we are going to have an average or even above average summer. It will be below average every month from now to October and probably beyond. Maybe one or two months in the next year will squeek by with an average temp, but the vast majority will be below average. Until someone drops an atomic bomb on that warm ocean water in the NE Pacific, that ridge will stay. Welcome back to the coldest decade in a hundred years. Time to break out the 1980's music lol.
New Euro says Low Pressure goes from SW to Quebec which means a slug of warmth comes rising from the south for the East next week Thursday. Trough digs down in center of U.S because of this then swings East of course.
Also note the Bermuda High Pressure it has sitting there. A warm humid lovers dream spot
I don't see how anyone in the eastern half of this country can think we are going to have an average or even above average summer. It will be below average every month from now to October and probably beyond. Maybe one or two months in the next year will squeek by with an average temp, but the vast majority will be below average. Until someone drops an atomic bomb on that warm ocean water in the NE Pacific, that ridge will stay. Welcome back to the coldest decade in a hundred years. Time to break out the 1980's music lol.
2013 featured a hotter than normal summer here (with dews at/above 70F for much of July), under the same/similar pattern. July even rivaled 2010 until the final week or so. I think it's too early to make calls about summer, we don't even know what'll happen two weeks from now.
Last edited by Infamous92; 03-19-2015 at 02:51 PM..
2013 featured a hotter than normal summer here (with dews at/above 70F for much of July), under the same/similar pattern. July even rivaled 2010 until the final week or so. I think it's too early to make calls about summer, we don't even know what'll happen two weeks from now.
Spring 2013 was nowhere as cold as this one. July 2013 was hotter than 2010, at least here.
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