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Old 01-20-2015, 03:58 PM
 
Location: South Jersey
14,497 posts, read 9,429,831 times
Reputation: 5251

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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Hmm..

Oh please let it be!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Nice trends with this afternoons models for Saturdays coastal!

Here's Latest Euro12z Data for Danbury, Windsor Locks, Philly, Boston.

Danbury: 0.43" qpf all snow @ normal 10:1 ratios = 3-5".
Northern CT: 0.24" qpf all snow.

Philly: 1.04" qpf not all snow.
Boston: 0.67" all snow. (@10:1 ratios=5-7")
Not all snow? That's no good. Still time for that to change to all snow. Hopefully. My forecast says high of 35F so it could be a close call.
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Old 01-20-2015, 04:34 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by snj90 View Post
Oh please let it be!

Not all snow? That's no good. Still time for that to change to all snow. Hopefully. My forecast says high of 35F so it could be a close call.
Gonna be tough there. Maybe rain to snow.

I Wanted to see some discussions after the 12z models today and how they came closer with this storm... Gotta love NWS NY

You have Taunton on left, Mount Holly in middle, & Upton on right for this Weekend storm.

In short.. NWS Boston acknowledges latest models bring it closer to coast and just Southeast of that key spot off the coast for snowstorm. They are going with a glancing blow.

NWS Philly says system moving fast so precip not all that much as it goes from Northern Florida to Benchmark area off MA coast within 24hrs..

NWS NY says possible coastal storm and they'll just keep a chance of precipitation around. Still lots of uncertainty.



They all mention another possible coastal low for Tuesday...not a clipper. Talk about active. Gees.
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Old 01-20-2015, 04:37 PM
 
Location: 30461
2,507 posts, read 1,846,900 times
Reputation: 728
Quote:
Originally Posted by Adi from the Brunswicks View Post
Its almost 70 F here. I sure hope this isn't gonna be the norm from now on. Way too warm .
Lol! North Georgia is starting to feel the warmth that south Gerogia's been feeling on and off this season.

I've noticed that the southern storm later this week has been trending farther and farther north with each model run. Central Florida was originally forecast to be around 60 F this Friday a few days ago. Now it's looking more like mid-upper 70s. Wonder where that stationary front will stall out...
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Old 01-20-2015, 05:16 PM
 
Location: Lexington, KY
12,278 posts, read 9,450,875 times
Reputation: 2763
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Wow. Thanks. Looks like 40s didn't even show up in Tennessee. And the 40s being shown was just from 3 days ago. LOL. I have to admit I think I only looked at 1 model. Forgot which it was.
Last night the NOAA graphic forecast page showed 38 here and low 40s in southern Kentucky. Like what I was saying before how dewpoint/humidity projections are even harder and less reliable than temperatures.
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Old 01-20-2015, 05:57 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,352,770 times
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It felt noticeably more humid here today with the dewpoint reaching 56F around noon. Temperature got up to 71F.

Cooling back down after tomorrow with cold rain in the forecast for Thursday.
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Old 01-20-2015, 07:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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One of my favorite storm tracks. One if positioned right off the coast and enough cold air can bring a decent snowstorm here and even blizzards.

Come on baby. Benchmark and Bomb! Will look at over night models and post in morning. Maybe start a Storm thread.

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Old 01-20-2015, 07:22 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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New NAM model likes NJ and hates CT tomorrow. 3-6" around Philly and to NJ coast.

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Old 01-20-2015, 08:19 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
NWS updates their snowfall map after that NAM update. So Atlantic City is going to get more than me? Awesome. There will always be winners and losers with snowstorms. I've been the loser all winter. LOL

http://www.weather.gov/images/phi/wi...lSnowRange.png

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Old 01-20-2015, 09:05 PM
 
29,513 posts, read 19,610,114 times
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NAM looking good for the Mid Atlantic

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Old 01-20-2015, 09:33 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
Ahhhhhhhh the good old days of recent yrs staying up for over night model updates.

New gfs has blizzard conditions for CT and Boston area Saturday. Let's keep this trend going!
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