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Graph I made showing Extreme Max/Min Records, Normal Max/Min, & Actual Max/Min since Dec 1st for BDR
I see a record max temp in January right after some record low temps. Looks like we've been more closer to the extreme lows then highs. -7°F is the all time record low(pitiful). 103° is the all time record highest temp. That 84°F in March is scary. lol (3/13/90)
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Low of 0 F here tomorrow . That breaks the record low yet again . If it happened just a few days later, 0 F would have been the all time record low for March. Also Camby, can you post the noon time temperature map so that we know where the cold front is.
^^^^^^^^
Low of 0 F here tomorrow . That breaks the record low yet again . If it happened just a few days later, 0 F would have been the all time record low for March. Also Camby, can you post the noon time temperature map so that we know where the cold front is.
Arctic front passed us already over night & this morning. It's over the Atlantic now. Give some time for the "push" of colder temps across. Did you notice the winds picking up last night? That was the front pushing across overhead.
"AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL FINISH PUSHING THROUGH THE TRI-STATE EARLY THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY."
What is going to happen is, the PV will spin counterclockwise and spit off disturbances (moisture)
You also have a streaming Pacific flow which will send in Pacific moisture.
Weather is all about timing, right? So if the Polar disturbances are getting to the East before the Pacific disturbance, then no big storms will happen. We'll just get snow showers, maybe 1-3" snows.
But if you get 2 energies(disturbances) to meet, you have the potential for a big snowstorm.
Where & when are the next key things. Where do they meet. When does it happen.
This week the timing is VERY off for it to happen. But it's hinting that the 3rd-4th timeframe could meet up and maybe again few days later.
When you see the loop, you can better understand how weather happens and how other players are involved.
How far is BDR from the Atlantic? It's record max and especially their record lows aren't very impressive
check this out people.....
Quote:
We move in February's closing week--the closing week of meteorological winter--with the pattern which has so frequently dominated our cold, snowy winter continuing as the dominant player. Ridging ocver western North America and Alaska, the product of unseasonably mild temps aloft there, produce ridging aloft there (a northward buckling of the jet stream), which leads to a roaring northwesterly jet stream into the Midwest and eastern Lower 48 which is to keep the parade of significantly colder than normal air masses coming. And there's every indication we'll move into March with the pattern still intact. The coming week is likely to see nighttime lows which flirt with record lows Wed and Thu. Lows of -6 and 0 are predicted each of those days versus the records of -1 on Wed (2/26) set in 1963 and Thursday's -6-deg record set in 1897.
Model temp departure forecasts for Days 1-5 come in at -22.4-deg; Days 6-10 at -20.1-deg and Days 11-15 at -9.5-deg.
I'm posting the projected mid-week hemispheric upper air forecast off the Weather Service's GEFS model, which clearly depicts the abnormal "warmth" aloft over western North America and Alaska (in the orange and red shaded area) as well as the Weather Service's GFS model temp departure forecast panels off our in-house MDA data base for Days 1-5, 6-10 and 11-15.
What will be interesting to keep a close eye on is a parade of weather systems rising a southern jet stream off the Pacific and trekking across the Lower 48. A slight northward jog in the paths currently predicted for these systems could lead to snows in the Midwest on several occasions in the coming weeks.
18 of February, 2014's 23 days (through Sunday) have posted temp deficits and the month, which averages 18-deg is running 8.8-deg below normal!
Last edited by chicagogeorge; 02-24-2014 at 12:02 PM..
Currently 17F/-8.3C as of 12:00, forecast high 20/-6.7 and is the warmest day in the forecast (through Sunday the 2nd). Average high on the first is 37/18 (2.8/-7.8)
Graph I made showing Extreme Max/Min Records, Normal Max/Min, & Actual Max/Min since Dec 1st for BDR
I see a record max temp in January right after some record low temps. Looks like we've been more closer to the extreme lows then highs. -7°F is the all time record low(pitiful). 103° is the all time record highest temp. That 84°F in March is scary. lol (3/13/90)
nice graph. I'd be curious to see it Bradley Airport or even more so Chicopee. I could download the data, but you got a nice graph format there.
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. That breaks the record low yet again 
. If it happened just a few days later, 0 F would have been the all time record low for March. Also Camby, can you post the noon time temperature map so that we know where the cold front is.
