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Ok, after the war.
And what if they don’t want to move voluntarily?
Mass executions or mass deportation? Other options?
One option is that those who collaborated with the Russian would be brought up on charges, tried, and if convicted, sentenced to prison.
Those whose affections lie with the Russians would be wise to shut up about it, if they plan to stick around. Otherwise, heading for Russia makes sense.
One option is that those who collaborated with the Russian would be brought up on charges, tried, and if convicted, sentenced to prison.
Those whose affections lie with the Russians would be wise to shut up about it, if they plan to stick around. Otherwise, heading for Russia makes sense.
Sounds like a plan.
Half the population of those regions will be convicted and/or punished.
Knowing this prospects, they will fight to the end.
I can't think of a single nation that is fine with citizens voting they want to be part of another country and allowing them to do so, taking part of the country with them.
In any case, if they want to live in Russia, that should be easy enough to do.
We need to remember, that a large portion of the population of the coal/steel/industrial regions of Eastern Ukraine are descendants of Russians who relocated there (voluntarily, or with a "nudge") some 100 years ago. These persons presumably think of the local land as their land, and not a purely Ukrainian land, of which they're somehow guests. But while they want an ethno-linguistically Russian society, they want a more modern, more pluralistic and more western-leaning country. That rules out immigration to Russia, even if they somehow (counterfactually) felt no allegiance to the land.
An analogy - strained, but topical - would be that of Arabs who chose to remain in what became Israel, in 1948. Today they're Israeli citizens, but still ethnically Arab and religiously Muslim.
I hope Avdivka won't turn into another Balkmut for Ukraine. For a few months the two Ukrainian bloggers reported massive Russian losses in Balkmut. But in the end Ukraine lost it to Russia.
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