[SluggoF16]

Originally Posted by debbie at bouontiful

Thank you Rocky. Always checking to see if you have any new updates. Wouldn't mind a nice snow storm but no ice please!

Agreed. Last Friday it was looking like an ice event was imminent but it warmed from 31 to 34... 1.05" of rain to boot. On I-44 on Saturday there was something of a convoy of pole trucks heading southwest from Chickasha... local news said they were staged there as a precaution.

Rocky, yesterday our barometric pressure reached 30.93" at around 4 PM. Never seen it that high, only have heard it get that way in Alaska.

[StillwaterTownie]

This winter is turning out to be one of the most persistantly cold winters in a while. For a long time, the temperatures have been unable to warm back to the sunny 50s and 60s without the weatherman saying another Arctic front is almost here again.

Barometric pressure has been getting lofty. On Wednesday the barometer peaked at 31.03.

[Goodpasture]

So, when do you expect it to get cold?

[StillwaterTownie]

Originally Posted by Goodpasture

So, when do you expect it to get cold?

It already did weeks ago. But the weather forecast expects the 50s to finally come back on Friday in time for the weekend. While staying stubbornly cold, at least this winter hasn't had record breaking lows or real bad snow or ice storms.

[rockyinyourradio]

Just a quick post.. about another 5 days of subnormal temps. than overall, about a week of temperatures averaging about 3 to 5 degrees above normal before potentially more cold to come to close out the last week of January. Still, I don't see anything that grabs my attention about precip. As I feared, the system slated for the Tuesday/Wednesday time frame will be minuscule and at best just a nuisance, but most of us will see a dusting of snow, possibly mixed with rain. Then as the warming trend commences.. little moisture. More soon as I see new data.

[_redbird_]

Originally Posted by rockyinyourradio

Just a quick post.. about another 5 days of subnormal temps. than overall, about a week of temperatures averaging about 3 to 5 degrees above normal before potentially more cold to come to close out the last week of January. Still, I don't see anything that grabs my attention about precip. As I feared, the system slated for the Tuesday/Wednesday time frame will be minuscule and at best just a nuisance, but most of us will see a dusting of snow, possibly mixed with rain. Then as the warming trend commences.. little moisture. More soon as I see new data.

Hello Rocky,

I prefer these frigid temps with no ice over balmy 50 degree days. I like having a bug-free season.

[rockyinyourradio]

Originally Posted by _redbird_

Hello Rocky,

I prefer these frigid temps with no ice over balmy 50 degree days. I like having a bug-free season.

Hello Redbird and all other winter lovers .. Well, I prefer some frigid temps. with at least some snow on the ground, but don't expect any of that in the near term. The system moving thru this morning is mainly affecting NW Okla. I don't see hardly a flake of snow here in the metro OKC area today. Starting tomorrow, the warm up commences and I think this weekend could feature temps. approaching 60F in SW Okla., 50's elsewhere before a couple of cool fronts (dry unfortunately) come through, lowering temperatures to mostly the 48-55F range for most of next week.

Further ahead.. most of us will be lucky to see a quarter of an inch of moisture between now thru the end of the month.. BUT, I'm still wondering if a storm system or two might try to give us at least a little rainfall the last week of the month.. not holding my breath.. I give that about a 25% chance of that happening.

I am increasingly concerned that a prolonged period of below normal temperatures once again will take a foothold for not only the southern plains but for much of the USA east of the continental divide with the core of the cold across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley into the mid south. This should start around the last week or so of the month and much of February; at least thru the first half for sure could be quite cold. Unfortunately.. precipitation will most likely be below normal. However, with this type of pattern.. sometimes a renegade storm system, sometimes in the form of a cut off low, could affect our region, so we can only hope. If appreciable moisture doesn't arrive within a month, our wheat and canola crop will suffer greatly.

I see the possibility that periods of subnormal temperatures could occur into March; even April, which will make this the third spring in a row for below normal temperatures and uncommonly hard freezes.. maybe even a late season snow event. Past years with similar weather patterns have produced the latter half of springs as stormy and heavier rains.. time will tell, in honesty, long range forecasting like this, is a crap shoot.

I will do my best to update as time warrants.. please feel free to keep this thread going, your input is valuable, no matter how simple it may be. All the best.

[_redbird_]

We should not get any more late spring freezes, rocky. How do I know? ... because I don't plant a garden anymore.

[rockyinyourradio]

A quick heads up about next weekend (Jan. 31-Feb. 1).. the new and improved GFS model depicts a major rain/snow event for much of Oklahoma starting Saturday morning and lasting through Superbowl Sunday. As colder air filters in, rain should change to freezing rain then snow and could be some serious accumulations in parts of the state. The European model has been bullish on not much happening but still suggests colder weather will commence by that weekend.

With this type of pattern, as I alluded to in earlier posts.. we will be susceptible to these type of renegade storms coming in on the southern jet stream then cut off and meander through our area. Potentially, if the GFS proves correct.. this storm for next weekend could be VERY impressive. My gut feelings though.. that the GFS model will waffle on timing and strength and gradually fizzle to an ordinary system that should at least bring a spattering of rain and some snow..maybe like our last system just experienced, but I'm holding out some hope this could be more. I am very optimistic of a cold and overall more unsettled period between Feb. 1-10th, maybe longer. I'll do my best to keep you abreast.

[_redbird_]

Originally Posted by rockyinyourradio

A quick heads up about next weekend (Jan. 31-Feb. 1).. the new and improved GFS model depicts a major rain/snow event for much of Oklahoma starting Saturday morning and lasting through Superbowl Sunday.

I'll take it! I sat outside one evening last week and the insects were buzzing around! Not yet, bugs! Go back to sleep.

Thanks for the heads up, Rocky.