Atlantic - Dorian forms August 24, 2019 (wear, colder, elevation, tornado)

[metalmancpa]

I can't recall a hurricane acting like this in recent memory

[Psychoma]

There’s the trough that’ll eventually turn it Northeast along with edge of high pressure its about to turn up around now, should start moving later this evening:
https://twitter.com/weathersources/s...75188910829568

[marehoodlum]

This is nuts... I don't remember a hurricane stalling quite like this either. Poor people stuck on that island

[LKJ1988]

Just be done with it. New case and new storm please.

[Psychoma]

Originally Posted by marehoodlum

This is nuts... I don't remember a hurricane stalling quite like this either. Poor people stuck on that island

Harvey, Florence cone to mind but over mainland/along coast. Joaquin in 2015 nearly stalled / meandered in SE Bahamas for around two days or so.

[Cambium]

Its wobbling. Past 30 minutes its moved SOUTH.

Its not a "move", just a wobble. It'll move north soon.

https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1168677800066330629

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by marehoodlum

This is nuts... I don't remember a hurricane stalling quite like this either. Poor people stuck on that island

Originally Posted by Psychoma

Harvey, Florence cone to mind but over mainland/along coast. Joaquin in 2015 nearly stalled / meandered in SE Bahamas for around two days or so.

Yup.. it happens. Just not often enough for us to remember. Francis in 2004 stalled off Florida as well

[jojajn]

I'm beginning to think that Dorian is not going anywhere. She is just going to keep ballooning out in size until she fills the entire tracking cone.

[Psychoma]

Here are some of the Dorian storm surge graphics from the Monday 5p advisory (they are updated about 60-90min after each 5 & 11a/p NHC update). But you can view interactive surge map (only goes out to 3 days from now) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...ation#contents

https://twitter.com/weathersources/s...03311421292545

Surge Watch/Warnings will eventually go to VA/NC border at least but are time based so they won’t go up yet, same for wind in Tropical Storm/ Hurricane Watch/Warnings. Surge is typically highest on the Northeast corner of the eye/center of a hurricane. Surge will start rising well before center makes closest pass, often flooding areas hours in advance. Surge is mostly wind direction dependent so as storm is passing a beach front it’s trying to push water onshore, as passes its pushing water away. Now water ways and shape of coast line play a role in flooding other areas as well...such as St. Johns River allows a storm S of Jacksonville, FL to push water via wind direction into the mouth of the river potentially flooding portions of downtown and S of the city up river. A sound such as Outer Banks of NC is well known to have a passing storm push water towards the mainland, but when/as storm passes and winds head offshore then all that sound water gets pushed onto the sound side of barrier islands, etc. Surge will travel up any water way that directly or eventually connects to the ocean. I’ve even seen it come up city storm street drains in reverse using our own drainage pipes against us as well.

[fluffydelusions]

Via Miami radar, eye just collapsed and is now noticeably larger...