[clutchrider]

Just picked up some CC and nylons but am tempted to see if my Shark Pocket Steamer would do a good job as well to get the ice off then the nylons to prevent.

Back OT, whats the timeline for tonight/tomorrow?

[jp03]

Originally Posted by Cambium

For CT. Good News. Storm free after tomm for 7 days Light Rain next week..
Bad News, No 50s for another 2 weeks.
40s only a couple times

I'm seeing some crazy flooding in some states. Lets pray we get a slow melt! No big rains, no 60s. Just 40s, 50s, Fog and Sun for 3 weeks. SLOW Melt. Anyone near a river must be on edge.

huge cutoff with this storm. One place will have 8 inches..75 miles north...nothing.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by jp03

huge cutoff with this storm. One place will have 8 inches..75 miles north...nothing.

YUP.. All depends where that front sets up and the moisture riding along it. This isn't a typical storm with rotating bands.. Moisture pluming in from the Tropical Pacific and Gulf. the angle of the moisture is why the sharp cut off, I've seen fronts wobble too so those within 20-30 miles of the big cut off need to be on their toes

---------------------------------------

For the areas that are about to have their biggest snowstorm of the season....

Biggest Daily Snowfall this season so far:

Baltimore: 6.3"
NYC: 5.5"
Philly: 4.8"
Salisbury: 4"
Atlantic City: 3.7"
DC: 2.9"

For the areas that wont:

Worcester: 31.9"
Boston: 22.1"
Islip: 17.4"
Providence: 16"
Albany: 11.9"
Hartford: 10.8"
Bridgeport: 10.3"
Burlington: 9.4"

[Cambium]

Anyone travelling south of the area? HEADS UP

Here's the snowfall forecast map from NWS Sterling.

And the 4-10" of new snow wont melt much for few days either
NWS Sterling - Winter Weather Page

[clutchrider]

That map is too far south for me took a minute to figure out what I was looking at, lol.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by clutchrider

That map is too far south for me took a minute to figure out what I was looking at, lol.

Lol. Heads up even in NJ!

WRF model says NYC and CT get peanuts

HIRES Window East WRF NMM Model



Upton.


.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY DIGGING DOWN
THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES INTO NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER GREAT
LAKES TODAY...INTERACTING WITH A SW US LOW...AND THEN GRADUALLY
LIFTING ACROSS THE US TO EAST COAST BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO ENSEMBLE MEANS...WITH A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
MOVING SOUTH OF THE REGION THIS EVE WITH FALLING TEMPS TONIGHT. A
SERIES OF WAVES WILL DEVELOP ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT TO THE SOUTH
TRACKING NE THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC...AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH AXIS AND AS THE REGION FALLS UNDER FAVORABLE ENTRANCE
REGION OF A 175-200KT UPPER JET.

BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN QPF...WITH MODELS WOBBLING BACK AND
FORTH FROM RUN TO RUN ON NORTHERN EXTENT OF HEAVIER QPF AXIS.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE A SHARP CUTOFF FROM SEVERAL INCHES OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW UNDER FRONTOGENETIC BANDING...AND QUICKLY
TAPERING TO A DUSTING TO THE NORTH (30 MILE RANGE).

HAVE RELIED ON
AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH TO QPF...WITH 1/4 TO 3/4 INCH OF QPF ACROSS
THE REGION AS THE SYNOPTIC SETUP TAPS INTO A MOIST SW FLOW ALL THE
WAY FROM THE SUBTROPICAL PAC. ENSEMBLE INDICATING HIGHEST PROB OF
.5 INCHES OR GREATER AFTER TRANSITION TO SNOW FOR SOUTHERNSOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF NYC/NJ METRO AND LI.

HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN 6+ INCH AMOUNTS IS FOR LI AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF NYC/NJ METRO. WILL UPGRADE TO WARNING IN THIS AREA AFTER
COLLAB WITH PHI AND BOX...FOR A 4 TO 8 INCH SNOWFALL. 00Z ENSEMBLE
RUNS HAVE REDUCED PROB OF 1/2 INCH QPF SLIGHTLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
AREAS...SO IF THIS TREND CONTINUES THIS ARE MAY FALL ON THE LOWER
END OF RANGE.

LOWER CONFIDENCE IN SNOWFALL FORECAST ACROSS SOUTHERN CT AND LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO RAPIDLY
DECREASE WORKING NORTHWARD. WITH LOW POTENTIAL FOR 6 INCHES FOR
COASTAL SOUTHERN CT...THE REST OF NE NJ...AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY WILL LEAVE WATCH UP IN THIS AREA...BUT HIGHER
LIKELIHOOD OF ADVISORY LEVEL OR LOWER. FOR AREAS FAR N&W OF
NYC...BETWEEN A DUSTING TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...SO NOT ENOUGH
CONFIDENCE FOR AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

YUP.. All depends where that front sets up and the moisture riding along it. This isn't a typical storm with rotating bands.. Moisture pluming in from the Tropical Pacific and Gulf. the angle of the moisture is why the sharp cut off, I've seen fronts wobble too so those within 20-30 miles of the big cut off need to be on their toes

---------------------------------------

For the areas that are about to have their biggest snowstorm of the season....

Biggest Daily Snowfall this season so far:

Baltimore: 6.3"
NYC: 5.5"
Philly: 4.8"
Salisbury: 4"
Atlantic City: 3.7"
DC: 2.9"

For the areas that wont:

Worcester: 31.9"
Boston: 22.1"
Islip: 17.4"
Providence: 16"
Albany: 11.9"
Hartford: 10.8"
Bridgeport: 10.3"
Burlington: 9.4"

Is that calendar day? Biggest single storm in NYC this winter was 9.8", not 5.5", I don't have the date but it was the day everyone thought "3 feet" and they closed the subways, etc.

Talk about uncertainty and cutoffs! Winter storm warnings for all 5 boros, Winter Weather Advisories for Rockland and all of Westchester Counties, but not for the adjacent parts of CT except the coast........

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Is that calendar day?.

Yup. Midnight to midnight. Daily.

[Cambium]

JP slacking off with the plume updates. Lol

https://twitter.com/GarySzatkowski/s...31144805797889

[jp03]

Originally Posted by Cambium

JP slacking off with the plume updates. Lol

https://twitter.com/GarySzatkowski/s...31144805797889

Plume is on my **** list..lol,,,always wrong.