[Mixum]

So long range is showing a "possibly" snowy finish to Jan?

[Cambium]

Nothing better than 39 degrees and rain. Actually went up past couple hours and I'm at the high for the day now.

1/4" so far, some local heavy spots through tonight.. NO ICE expected.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Yeah and the latest GFS18z looks VERY snowy for the rest of January. Run the loop, watch the freezing line stay to our south (so it stays COLD) and all the systems and moisture which would be snow after the 18th. SnowStorm after snowstorm every 3-4 days. Its long range "GFS" so dont put too much faith in it.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/mode...06GFSLoop.html

If you look back at weather records, you'll see that January, 2000 was very similar if the forecast plays out. First half was quite warm with a couple of days in the 60s even (at least in NYC, not sure if it got that warm in CT), but 2nd half was bitter cold, averaging well below normal and most places got about 1-2 feet of total snow from 2 snowfalls.

[ctwhitechin]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Here we go folks... After next weekend things will start to get active and interesting. There's been consistance in a deep trough, cold temps and Tropical interaction.

But when you're having coffee while seeing this, you have to be careful spitting some out. Don't fret yet. Its only one run...but something is brewing. This particular situation would bring tropical downpours, damaging winds, and damaging snows to parts of NY State and higher elevations. It stalls over us which is rare but indicates major blocking up north. The storm has nowhere to go! Once it moves out, snow wil fall on the back side of it even into CT.

This is just one run of this solution... lets keep an eye on things.

Lol I was looking back at this thread "something is brewing". Damn straight it was

[ctwhitechin]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Here we go folks... After next weekend things will start to get active and interesting. There's been consistance in a deep trough, cold temps and Tropical interaction.

But when you're having coffee while seeing this, you have to be careful spitting some out. Don't fret yet. Its only one run...but something is brewing. This particular situation would bring tropical downpours, damaging winds, and damaging snows to parts of NY State and higher elevations. It stalls over us which is rare but indicates major blocking up north. The storm has nowhere to go! Once it moves out, snow wil fall on the back side of it even into CT.

This is just one run of this solution... lets keep an eye on things.

Lol I was looking back at this thread "something is brewing". Damn straight it was
This is from about 10/21/2012

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by ctwhitechin

Lol I was looking back at this thread "something is brewing". Damn straight it was
This is from about 10/21/2012

Yup and 2 days later I started the thread. https://www.city-data.com/forum/conne...er-2012-a.html I still shake my head at what I was seeing every day leading up to the event. Was hard to imagine, understand and believe.

[Mixum]

ok so I keep seeing "major changes" for next week meaning it will get cold im assuming.... but on any extended forecast Im seeing temps in mid 40s all the way through next Friday with no precip anywhere in sight!

????

[jp03]

Originally Posted by Mixum

ok so I keep seeing "major changes" for next week meaning it will get cold im assuming.... but on any extended forecast Im seeing temps in mid 40s all the way through next Friday with no precip anywhere in sight!

????

Starting next weekend Mixum..till then above normal

[Cambium]

Amazing BATTLE happening.

Polar vs SouthEast Ridge. The Ridge has a heartbeat and kept us warm till now, the Polar air is going to come in fierce.

Stratosphere at record warm levels and so we will feel the effects at the surface because the polar air is displaced and will drop down to us.

GFS shows snow south of us on Tuesday but the news story is the possible cold outbreak.

Worth watching the 6 minutes here. He explains what the Stratosphere warming does to our weather and temps.


Stratosphere Warming by NYNJPA Weather - YouTube

[Cambium]

I can't ignore it anymore. I always seen the models push it back and back and I kept ignoring it and not believing it. But the consistancy is now overwhelming and so it should be talked about.

This could be a widespread news story regarding this upcoming outbreak (probably more for northern tier of U.S)

But I will say.. until we get closer, we wont know how deep, how cold, or how long it will last.

Here's Euro for Tuesday morning the 22nd. GFS is not as cold. Single Digits for all of CT, near 0 for northern Litchfield.





Here's GFS for Friday afternoon the 26th. I think its safe to say that next weekend, the bottom drops. We'l see how cold it really gets. Make sure your furnace is working.

Below zero for all of CT