[Corrie22]

before you guys get all crazy counting hurricanes....let's balance this with fact Florida went a decade...10 years

without one single hurricane....not one anywhere in this huge state for 10 years....12 years without a major hurricane

and it wasn't that long ago.....2005-2015

the USA as a whole went 11 years without a major hurricane anywhere

[JBtwinz]

As I mentioned in my previous post I do think things will continue to trend upwards as far as prices until we Boomers peak out at the end of this decade.

House prices in my opinion that are being reduced aren’t necessarily a sign of a slowdown more of the fact that paying over asking wasn’t realistic. We were seeing buyers going 10% over asking in 2022 into early 2023.

I do think that we may come to a sweet spot maybe sooner than later that a certain percentage of retirees are going to look at the median prices of homes and insurance costs in Florida and decide they need to look elsewhere in the US.

In the 23 years since we built here on Amelia Island we are now at seven times higher in valuation. Although that is on paper until we actually sold.

As far future hurricanes, 2023 was supposed to be a really bad year. Forecasting for 2024 is just a way to get click bait. If we stay in our location long enough we will eventually get hit maybe big time but forecasting the big one each year and they are bound to get it right eventually.

[tinytrump]

Originally Posted by MOforthewin

My mom died and thinking about selling my house. My 4 bed 2300 SQ house valued on Zillow is only 405k now!! With others in the area selling for around the same price. Earlier this year going for 465k range!

Thanks Democraps and Biden's high interest rates.

Im seeing 68 to 201 days sitting on the market in my area and 40k price cuts!

Sorry but they were over inflated prices. In central Fl rental rates so high- nobody’s moving in now… time to correct.

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by Corrie22

before you guys get all crazy counting hurricanes....let's balance this with fact Florida went a decade...10 years

without one single hurricane....not one anywhere in this huge state for 10 years....12 years without a major hurricane

and it wasn't that long ago.....2005-2015

the USA as a whole went 11 years without a major hurricane anywhere

I have gone over a 100 years without one.

[MOforthewin]

Originally Posted by JBtwinz

As I mentioned in my previous post I do think things will continue to trend upwards as far as prices until we Boomers peak out at the end of this decade.

House prices in my opinion that are being reduced aren’t necessarily a sign of a slowdown more of the fact that paying over asking wasn’t realistic. We were seeing buyers going 10% over asking in 2022 into early 2023.

I do think that we may come to a sweet spot maybe sooner than later that a certain percentage of retirees are going to look at the median prices of homes and insurance costs in Florida and decide they need to look elsewhere in the US.

In the 23 years since we built here on Amelia Island we are now at seven times higher in valuation. Although that is on paper until we actually sold.

As far future hurricanes, 2023 was supposed to be a really bad year. Forecasting for 2024 is just a way to get click bait. If we stay in our location long enough we will eventually get hit maybe big time but forecasting the big one each year and they are bound to get it right eventually.

Not really. Actually 2023 overachieved despite a strong El Nino. However, the steering made most of them go out to sea. there are long range models now that give hints at precip patterns, and water temp forecast.

La Nina should be in place by the summer. The waters in the tropical atlantic are still above normal for this time of year. Stuff like this gives signals. Usually following an El Nino year is a big season.

After the super El Nino of 98, 98 season was big. 2016 was an active season too. sometimes 2 years after a strong El Nino is more active.

2022 would been very active but had the wave breaking due to the super hot temps in Europe, and before that there was also a volcano eruption. That releases dust into the atmosphere and can suppress activity.

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by MOforthewin

Not really. Actually 2023 overachieved despite a strong El Nino. However, the steering made most of them go out to sea. there are long range models now that give hints at precip patterns, and water temp forecast.

La Nina should be in place by the summer. The waters in the tropical atlantic are still above normal for this time of year. Stuff like this gives signals. Usually following an El Nino year is a big season.

After the super El Nino of 98, 98 season was big. 2016 was an active season too. sometimes 2 years after a strong El Nino is more active.

2022 would been very active but had the wave breaking due to the super hot temps in Europe, and before that there was also a volcano eruption. That releases dust into the atmosphere and can suppress activity.

Dust made it a bust for any rain for me last year. None all year,

[MOforthewin]

Originally Posted by LKJ1988

Dust made it a bust for any rain for me last year. None all year,

Hurricanes don't like dry air.

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by MOforthewin

Hurricanes don't like dry air.

I know.

[Threestep2]

Originally Posted by Corrie22

before you guys get all crazy counting hurricanes....let's balance this with fact Florida went a decade...10 years

without one single hurricane....not one anywhere in this huge state for 10 years....12 years without a major hurricane

and it wasn't that long ago.....2005-2015

the USA as a whole went 11 years without a major hurricane anywhere

You may want to review your research.

[Corrie22]

Originally Posted by Threestep2

You may want to review your research.

no that's 100% accurate....what do you think is wrong with it?

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane...-10-years-2015

https://www.daytondailynews.com/news...YuaibviWrFTUP/

Originally Posted by MOforthewin

Not really. Actually 2023 overachieved despite a strong El Nino.

average is across El Nino years and La Nina years.....average is 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes

2023 was 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/20...r%20hurricanes.