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Old 09-17-2017, 10:52 AM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,612,482 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
NASA looks great george!
lol if it was a summer forecast...



https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...30703506563073
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Old 09-17-2017, 10:53 AM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,612,482 times
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https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...31632087666690


https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...30703506563073
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Old 09-17-2017, 10:55 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...35964526940161
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Old 09-17-2017, 11:27 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
Just shows how on the line we are between solid winters and weak winters. As I always say, I feel like our winters are often Washington DC-esq aka lame.

I can go for a front loaded winter. We're overdue for that. Memorable recent October/November snowfalls include November 2014, November 2012, October 2011, and October 2009. I thought there was snow in October 2010, but I guess not. Couldn't find data on a late October 2008 snowfall, but here's an article:


10 seems quite high given we only avg 15 days of snow cover of 1" or more. That seems like every winter we get one big snowstorm that results in huge snow cover that then takes 10 days to melt. It does seem that our only real snow comes from coastal noreasters and others barely give more than a dusting.
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Old 09-17-2017, 11:30 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Be good for once to simply have each winter month be close to average. Doubt that will happen but the overall winter mean could come close to avg as Ben Noll shows for my area.
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Old 09-17-2017, 11:38 AM
 
Location: New Jersey
15,318 posts, read 17,217,577 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
10 seems quite high given we only avg 15 days of snow cover of 1" or more. That seems like every winter we get one big snowstorm that results in huge snow cover that then takes 10 days to melt. It does seem that our only real snow comes from coastal noreasters and others barely give more than a dusting.
Sometimes there can be smaller snowfalls that stick around during colder/dryer winters, but I don't think that's as common.
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Old 09-17-2017, 12:21 PM
 
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Bastardi


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Old 09-17-2017, 12:21 PM
 
Location: Norman, OK
2,850 posts, read 1,970,186 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Good point. Same can be said with the CFSv2. It more to look at the general trends though, and if there are model consensus.

I'm loving this winter's analog. 2007-08 was a great winter here.


https://twitter.com/Met_khinz/status/908746659257098240
I certainly don't want a third consecutive warmer than normal winter. But if we had a repeat of the winter of 1977-78 or 1978-79 we could both be happy.
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Old 09-17-2017, 12:32 PM
 
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La Nina does bring incredible volatility to the Midwest with wild swings in temperatures, and frequent storms.
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Old 09-17-2017, 12:37 PM
 
Location: New York
11,326 posts, read 20,328,314 times
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I'd really like to know what's influencing these high snowfall totals. NYC's 1991-2020 snowfall average will be a very significant increase over its 1981-2010 average. To me, it feels like we've been seeing fewer snowfall events overall, especially in December, but far more major storms. And all it takes is one major storm for us to reach or exceed our annual average.

I hope we're on the milder side of the north/south divide, with very little cold/warm battleground crap. Below average snow totals would be a nice change of pace as well.
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