Summer 2014 - Northern Hemisphere (category, Chicago, days, storms)

[chicagogeorge]

MDW hit 88 degrees today

Tornado watches up just west and north of Chicago tonight. Looks like they will see some action

Looks like a 90 degree tomorrow is likely. Dew points will be very muggy until the storms usher in a cold front later in the day.



The rest of the week looks below average and drier. Temps mainly in the mid 70's to low 80's to open July. LAME

[Cambium]

Latest 6z GFS has the weak tropical storm curving OTS after going over Florida and hugging the coastline in Southeast..

Northeast/New England would feel nothing with this scenario.

[Qilin34]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Latest 6z GFS has the weak tropical storm curving OTS after going over Florida and hugging the coastline in Southeast..

Northeast/New England would feel nothing with this scenario.

Good heavens the mid-Atlantic and much of the NE could use an extended dry spell after this spring/winter!

[nei]

July 4th now looks cloudy and rainy. Wednesday the hottest day of the year so far by a lot.

[chicagogeorge]

Gorgeous day in Myrtle Beach high of 87 degrees.

Back in Chicago high in the upper 80's low 90's. Big threat of severe weather this evening



Returning tomorrow around 5:30PM

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by nei

July 4th now looks cloudy and rainy. Wednesday the hottest day of the year so far by a lot.

Looks like the front is slower and sounds like it will stall a little over PA before moving towards the coast.

I think we clear after the morning, at least from the rain maybe not clouds? Also watch that tropical system. We might get interaction of the moisture from it while its still down south.

Isn't it fascinating to see everything and the timing? So this system in the southeast is moving north the same time the front is moving East. Depending on where the front and the High pressure is in the mid Atlantic will determine the path of the Tropical Storm.

What if that front stalls near the coast instead of pushing out over the waters? Cloudy and Rainy Friday-Saturday

NWS Philly.

HEAT INDEX 100-105 PHL SOUTHWARD WITH A HEAT ADVISORY LIKELY.


WEDNESDAY...THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT STALLS IN EASTERN PA WITH LOW PRESSURE
FORMING IN THE HEAT AHEAD OF IT AND FOCUSING SOME OF THE CONVECTION
WHICH COULD EASILY BE FF AND SVR PRODUCING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

THURSDAY... THE FRONT SHOULD DRIFT TO THE
COAST DURING THE NIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES NEWD TO NEW ENGLAND.

FRIDAY- MIDDAY SATURDAY...DEPENDENT ON THE FUTURE OF ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM MOVING NEWD ALONG OR OFF THE COAST. RIGHT NOW...FROM THE
LOCAL WFO STAND POINT...THE SYSTEM INTERACTIONS MAY STILL BE PRODUCING
RAIN HERE BUT IT WOULD SEEM THE BULK OF THIS IS TURNING SEAWARD.

[Cambium]

Lets look at some of the players...

Current Surface map.

#3 can't move north because of the High pressures.
#1 is moving slow
#2 wont move that much next few days

Once #2 moves out a little or weakens #3 can make the move up the coast while #1 moves across as well.

Will #3 wait for #1 to pass then make the move north? (most likely)

or will it want a date with it and meet up together?

Or will #2 not budge and stay strong which will send #3 closer to the coast.

Where will #1 occlude? Near the coast or out in the Atlantic?



See why models have different senarios?

[Wildcat15]

How about #1 goes back to the North Pole where it belongs?

[chicagogeorge]

Looks like storm threat for Chicagoland is pretty serious tonight

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

Looks like storm threat for Chicagoland is pretty serious tonight

Low Level Jet at 75kts PLUS high dewpoints... Watch out.

Originally Posted by G8RCAT

How about #1 goes back to the North Pole where it belongs?

ROFLMAO!! Funniest post so far today. Speaking of Poles... So how long is the Polar Jet stream going to stay this far south?

Take a look at the current 500mb Heights & Winds. Anomaly bottom right. Polar Vortex sighting