Spring 2014 (March-May) - Northern Hemisphere (snowing, warm, ice, temperature)
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Yup, I think I mentioned it couple weeks ago that we would see more seasonable temps then very cold but we'll still get the spikes cold and warm. Enjoy.
Havent looked into it but I believe the northern jet lifted north and we have more ridging in the southeast. Plus the sun is helping spike things.
I remember you mentioned it, though there was some back and forth with other predictions. Only frustrating things is the plants still aren't coming. A few hints of the grass greener. Crocuses aren't out yet. Morning frosts have been rather light lately, so plants should be coming out. This spring will come really fast and condensed.
Again, hurricane season isn't in June, starts in August, maybe in late July. Some you have nothing to worry about.
Plus Bastardi thinks we will see a lower number of Gulf Coast hurricanes this year if an El Nino develops as they will be sheered of by westerlies. Most hurricanes are expected to be east coast
7 Tropical systems hit Florida in June since 1900. 1 of them caused almost 2 billion dollars in damage. None were stronger than CAT2 and 5 of the 7 were weaker than a Hurricane at landfall. Not that common for June hits in Florida but it does happen.
Maybe we have a chance this April to see above average conditions after all.... Or at least average.
Quote:
Latest long-range ECMWF forecast model update into the first week of May...
When I look at the overall upper-level pattern that is predicted by the model, it does not come across as cooler than normal for most of southern Canada. If anything, it looks warmer than normal for southern Ontario and southern Quebec later this month. However, the model is clearly factoring the likely colder than normal Great Lakes and extensive snow pack to the north and lowering the anomalies based on that.
Seasonable days, chilly nights. No real sustained extremes either way still. Those double digits popping up like they are here is what I was looking for in March. I guess we got spoiled in recent years seeing 50s/60s in March. lol
Notice 850s don't go below freezing much at all anymore... transition has begun for a couple weeks now. The 9th & 10th keeps showing a chilly couple days.
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