Fall 2012 Thread (September - November) (Arizona, snowing, ice, record)
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I posted that graphic in the December thread. It's not exactly wall to wall cold either. In fact, it looks like a bit more warmth than cold. Either way, what I see is something rather typical looking. We've come out of an over yearlong stretch, for much of the country, of well above average temperatures. What's next? I don't see much of a clear trend either way, just the usual back and forth of weather. We can keep arguing over every local weather event as a sign of "warm blast" or "cold blast" but I feel it's getting rather silly.
I posted that graphic in the December thread. It's not exactly wall to wall cold either. In fact, it looks like a bit more warmth than cold. Either way, what I see is something rather typical looking. We've come out of an over yearlong stretch, for much of the country, of well above average temperatures. What's next? I don't see much of a clear trend either way, just the usual back and forth of weather. We can keep arguing over every local weather event as a sign of "warm blast" or "cold blast" but I feel it's getting rather silly.
Certainly not arguing there's wall-to-wall cold in the forecast. Just pointing out that a good chunk of the country is experiencing below normal temperatures and there doesn't seem to be some overwhelming evidence that the entire US will experience a blowtorch of a winter. Of course we just have to wait and see what happens. I agree that there's no clear trend.
Truly excellent weather for cross-country running (what I have just been doing) here this morning: 5 degrees C, fog, drizzle, gloom, and a course largely consisting of puddles, mud, slippery fallen leaves and tree branches blown off in the wind the other night. You can keep your San Diegos and your Canary Islands, seriously...
Its always interesting the affects of a good snow pack. Its just slightly above freezing at 1c and the frost is melting slightly, I was just thinking if we had a foot or so of snow it would probably stay below freezing all day today. Like -2c.
I remember at 1c in previous years with a snowpack nothing melted, but right now everything is starting to melt.
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
311 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012
VALID 12Z WED NOV 28 2012 - 12Z SAT DEC 01 2012
...HEAVY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IN CALIFORNIA LATE THIS WEEK INTO
THIS WEEKEND... ...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWS POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...
WEATHER IMPACTS
=============== MODERATE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD UP THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS A LOW SWINGS OFFSHORE THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BEFORE MOVING INTO ATLANTIC CANADA THURSDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION COULD BE IN THE FORM OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND
Here are the snow totals from the last GFS. Are you inside the accumulations?
Some low level locations still at or below freezing.. brr
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