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Old 02-12-2012, 05:18 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rozenn View Post
^^ Today was a bit similar, low was 15°F and high was 34°F. Though I fear it was the last wintry day of this winter.
Such conditions are close to average here, but the majority of this winter has been in the 40s. Still pleasantly cool temperatures, but would be nice to get more wintry weather.
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Old 02-12-2012, 05:19 PM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
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Temperatures are supposed to reach 10C/50F here this week - the last time I reached such a temperature was the 21st of January
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Old 02-12-2012, 08:27 PM
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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
Today was a wintry day here. Windy with a low of 16 F and a high of only 30 F. Some sun most of the morning, but then it turned overcast and snowed for an hour so. Had a nice coating. I was working outside on and off today and I thoroughly enjoyed the brisk weather. Of course several hours in it wouldn't have been ideal since my eyes would have been tearing up (a nuisance I'm still willing to put up with!).
I thought it was miserable; but I might have forgotten how to dress well in winter. It was colder here, and with the windchill about 10°F (3°F when I walked home).

Dew point is 1°F now, it'll be interesting to see how far it drops.
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Old 02-12-2012, 08:29 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yes, 19th-20th should be the next one. If anything, whats going to happen is, instead of having fridgid winter temps for 2-3 weeks straight, March April could give us weeks of 30s which would be below normal for Spring.
Sounds horrible. I wonder if there any previous cases of an above average winter (Dec-Feb) and a below average spring. The NAO / AO is predicted to return to neutral or slightly more positive in 2 weeks, hopefully preventing a cool spring.
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Old 02-12-2012, 08:49 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rozenn View Post
850 mb is the mean pressure about 5,000 feet above sea level, so a bit lower than Mt. Washington. The summit must be a few degrees colder than this level. I mentioned it cause 850 mb temps are shown in model maps.



Jan 16, 2004. -42°C/-44°F at the summit, -75C/-103F windchill. The 850 mb temp that day was below -32°C/-26°F (scroll down to have a north hemisphere map):
Meteociel - Archives des analyses NCEP de 1871 aujourd'hui

You can have distinction below -28°C on this website:
Wetter : Wetterzentrale : Top Karten : Archiv Reanalysis - Europa

These are brutal temps in open air. Only limited stretches of the Arctic basin can have such temps at the same time. So seeing these and at Mt. Washington's latitude is quite impressive to me.
That was one of the coldest Mt. Washington has gotten recently, or at least in the last decade, and one of the colder "arctic blasts" for the northeast recently. I remember being in Long Island with a daytime high of about 13°F (-10°C) — very cold for the coast; and bicycling in it. The harbors had frozen over. Interior of the northeast struggled to go above 0°F. That whole month was one of the coldest in recent decades.

http://205.156.54.206/er/okx/climate/records/warmcoldyearsmonths.html

Only one month after 1920 was colder than January 2004 in New York City. In contrast, last January averaged about 37°F in NYC; warmer than average but closer to the average than January 2004.

Looking at your models, it's clear (at least from what I can understand) what the setup was; high and low pressure systems sitting in a position that created a strong arctic airflow from Northern Canada and cooled very little. Looked like someone left the door ajar. While Europe was getting weather off the Atlantic, keeping it mild.

northern New England sits in a spot where the pressure lines run close together, making the winds stronger. And Mt. Washington has a shape and stick out enough to funnel the wind over the summit and magnify it.

Is this correct?

The website with the models looks really interesting. Thanks!

Last edited by nei; 02-12-2012 at 08:59 PM..
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Old 02-12-2012, 08:58 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
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Take a look at this date!

Meteociel - Archives des analyses NCEP de 1871 aujourd'hui

A cold N airflow onto New England, very cold air aloft and a large low pressure system sitting right off the coast.
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Old 02-13-2012, 04:47 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Take a look at this date!

Meteociel - Archives des analyses NCEP de 1871 aujourd'hui

A cold N airflow onto New England, very cold air aloft and a large low pressure system sitting right off the coast.
Very cool link! Thanks! The link doesnt go direct into the date. What month of that year are you talk about?
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Old 02-13-2012, 05:58 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Very cool link! Thanks! The link doesnt go direct into the date. What month of that year are you talk about?
That's October 30, 2011. The link goes there.
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Old 02-13-2012, 06:12 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Default March 2012 JB

Joe Bastardi's thoughts on March 2012.


Joe Bastardi thoughts on March 2012 - YouTube

Here's the anomalies for this winter on left and last winter on right. Clearly see where its been above normal this year.

But more fasinating is, USA is the only land mass in Northern Hemisphere that is warm. Everyone else is cold.

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Old 02-13-2012, 06:29 AM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
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Spring is here LOL, temperature is 8.1C / 46.5F and it actually feels kinda pleasant
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