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Old 11-05-2020, 06:05 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,529 posts, read 33,632,690 times
Reputation: 12187

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Quote:
Originally Posted by As Above So Below... View Post
Collin will go blue before Brazoria.
That’s a given and yeah, Tarrant County did indeed go blue. I still wouldn’t call Texas a swing state but I think the days of it being solidly red or deep red are gone. It’s a competitive state now.
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Old 11-05-2020, 06:07 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,529 posts, read 33,632,690 times
Reputation: 12187
Quote:
Originally Posted by ParaguaneroSwag View Post
Tarrant County went red. Not by much but still went red. So start there. The fact that our 2 biggest metros of HOU and DFW did go blue as a whole, it wasn't by much. Austin metro actually went blue by over 60%, but it's the 4th largest. Then take into account that the border counties saw a huge decline in Democratic vote, likely due to hispanics losing trust in the Democratic Party. "Minorities" in general are overall, but even more so hispanics. And obviously everything else in Texas is bloooooood red, so there you go.
Tarrant actually went blue.
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Old 11-05-2020, 06:14 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,529 posts, read 33,632,690 times
Reputation: 12187
Quote:
Originally Posted by asubram3 View Post
Considering all of these urban counties with large populations went for Biden, how come Trump still won TX? Which counties gave him the lead?
Short answer. Because DFW and Houston still have enough large republican suburbs. No disrespect to Austin, but Texas will go blue when most of DFW and Houston suburbs go blue. If your states largest metro area is mostly blue, the state is either competitive or blue. Not your fourth largest metro. Georgia is showing exactly this as we speak.
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Old 11-05-2020, 07:15 PM
 
Location: Dallas, Texas
4,448 posts, read 6,330,884 times
Reputation: 3840
The latest vote counts show that Tarrant County did go for Biden. It went for Beto in the mid-terms so no surprise there. Collin County is very close to flipping blue. Denton will be the last of the big four DFW counties to flip even though the city of Denton is considered an artsy liberal college town.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:18 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,529 posts, read 33,632,690 times
Reputation: 12187
Quote:
Originally Posted by R1070 View Post
The latest vote counts show that Tarrant County did go for Biden. It went for Beto in the mid-terms so no surprise there. Collin County is very close to flipping blue. Denton will be the last of the big four DFW counties to flip even though the city of Denton is considered an artsy liberal college town.
Yeah I was wondering if Collin County, Williamson County, and Hays county continued that trend to be blue after the 2018 midterms and they exactly just that.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:44 PM
 
Location: Houston/Austin, TX
10,006 posts, read 6,700,198 times
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Just saw Tarrant County flipped. Awesome! It wa about time.
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Old 11-05-2020, 09:28 PM
 
1,438 posts, read 782,371 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SanJac View Post
You are spot on. The BIG story is how many Hispanics voted for Trump. The National media tried to isolate the Cuban vote in Miami as not translating to other Latino populations.

In spite of all the immigration rhetoric it is stunning how Hispanics voted for Trump in Texas. It really must be a regional thing. Latinos in Arizona and California did not help Trump at all.

My hypothesis is Hispanics in Texas have taken on Texas “Individualism.” They want a chance at the American dream and they don’t want politicians stripping them of their 2nd amendment rights. They are likely more socially conservative on religious freedoms than Arizonians or Californians as well.

Maybe just maybe the media will stop treating the Latino and Black communities as some monolithic voting block that does everything in unison. That should be the lesson for Democrats from this election.
It's a regional thing in Texas too. Not all Hispanics had a shift to Trump. Just Hispanics in the RGV. Hispanics in El Paso, San Antonio, Houston, Dallas voted for Democrats in the same large numbers that they usually do.
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Old 11-05-2020, 10:32 PM
JJG
 
Location: Fort Worth
13,612 posts, read 22,955,309 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ParaguaneroSwag View Post
Just saw Tarrant County flipped. Awesome! It wa about time.
This happened in 2018 for Beto...
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Old 11-05-2020, 11:20 PM
Status: "Worship the Earth, Worship Love, not Imaginary Gods" (set 19 days ago)
 
Location: Houston, TX/Detroit, MI
8,442 posts, read 5,586,771 times
Reputation: 12447
Quote:
Originally Posted by GABESTA535 View Post
It's a regional thing in Texas too. Not all Hispanics had a shift to Trump. Just Hispanics in the RGV. Hispanics in El Paso, San Antonio, Houston, Dallas voted for Democrats in the same large numbers that they usually do.
This. In my opinion were dealing with two factors with Mexicans in Texas:

1) How many generations a person has been here. The more generations between them and the home country, the more assimilated and conservative they can become.

2) Urban/Rural. Across all races, the last two presidential elections the divide is showing itself not to involve red states and blue ones, but rather urban and rural differences. People from small towns and cities follow the rural politics and those from suburbs split the difference. The more urban a state, the more likely it is to vote blue. Thats why Illinois is blue. Its urban population outnumbers all else. In Texas, Houston, DFW, Austin, and San Antonio cant overcome all of East and West Texas along with the conservative suburbs each of them have.
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Old 11-06-2020, 12:17 AM
 
109 posts, read 71,568 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GABESTA535 View Post
It's a regional thing in Texas too. Not all Hispanics had a shift to Trump. Just Hispanics in the RGV. Hispanics in El Paso, San Antonio, Houston, Dallas voted for Democrats in the same large numbers that they usually do.
I like that distinction.
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