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Well the people there are scared and the streets are emptied out. It's a de facto quarantine measure, and as a result the cases are likely to fall.
I have a hard time believing that. India is not the West, even if they're scared, they need to go outdoors and buy food or they starve. The majority don't even have refrigerators. Have you been to India?
I have a hard time believing that. India is not the West, even if they're scared, they need to go outdoors and buy food or they starve. The majority don't even have refrigerators. Have you been to India?
It truly is just the natural progression of the virus. This is what viruses do. Cases and deaths go up and then peak and fall again in a bell shaped curve. We can pretend that our good or bad behavior is responsible for all of it but science and history tell us that we’re wrong. The virus is being a virus.
It truly is just the natural progression of the virus. This is what viruses do. Cases and deaths go up and then peak and fall again in a bell shaped curve. We can pretend that our good or bad behavior is responsible for all of it but science and history tell us that we’re wrong. The virus is being a virus.
Yes, a virus that rapidly spreads will also leave behind a lot of people with immunity, and this in turn will lower its chances of spreading.
I was wondering, if viral shedding from infected people could induce some kind of temporary immunity in their close contacts. May explain why these waves keep coming and leaving. Some people get infected, but the people around them also generate some temporary immunity from proteins from the virus. However, this temporary immunity wears off, and the virus can come back.
Last edited by GoldenPineTree; 05-12-2021 at 07:46 AM..
Signs of respite in Maharashtra, Delhi but dip in national Covid numbers no cause for joy
While the declining Covid-19 cases in India for the third consecutive day may have brought some respite with big contributor states such as Maharashtra, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh also seeing a dip in the cases, it may not be a cause for celebration as it is accompanied by a reduction in daily sample testing.
The case positivity rate for these three days also showed an increase from about 20 per cent to about 25 per cent.
Clearly we do not have a clear picture of the actual numbers and I will stand by my argument -- way too soon to suggest that somehow the virus is just mitigating on its own.
Signs of respite in Maharashtra, Delhi but dip in national Covid numbers no cause for joy
While the declining Covid-19 cases in India for the third consecutive day may have brought some respite with big contributor states such as Maharashtra, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh also seeing a dip in the cases, it may not be a cause for celebration as it is accompanied by a reduction in daily sample testing.
The case positivity rate for these three days also showed an increase from about 20 per cent to about 25 per cent.
Clearly we do not have a clear picture of the actual numbers and I will stand by my argument -- way too soon to suggest that somehow the virus is just mitigating on its own.
Cannot be explained by any new mitigation measures, or vaccinations. Just normal dynamics of a 'wave'.
7-day average has already slipped, and now India is averaging 330,000 cases a day, down from 415,000. Deaths will remain high for the next few weeks.
This assumes that there has been no decrease in testing due to factors like reluctance or scarcity of tests.
Check how many tests were administered and see if that looks reasonable or not.
Pro tip from someone that has decades of experience, you want to get something *really* wrong? Well then don't pay close attention to your data and how it's coming in or what may have changed.
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