New poll has Obama up 6 in Ohio, 2 in Wisconsin, 3 in Florida (voters, campaign)
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Another huge Democrat oversampling. These pollsters are laughable. They are using 2008 election models for the polls, which oversample Democrats by 8-12 points.
Does anyone with a brain really believe that Oblama is going to equal his 2008 performance? Really?
Another huge Democrat oversampling. These pollsters are laughable. They are using 2008 election models for the polls, which oversample Democrats by 8-12 points.
Does anyone with a brain really believe that Oblama is going to equal his 2008 performance? Really?
Good point and Romney is still running even in Florida and now Wisconsin with a double digit lead among seniors in Florida. The Obama camp must be petrified today.
Good point and Romney is still running even in Florida and now Wisconsin with a double digit lead among seniors in Florida. The Obama camp must be petrified today.
Yep! And once the convention is over, Romney can really start to campaign!!! These numbers and he hasn't really kicked in his campaign yet. Great news!
In Florida, Mr. Obama continues to lead among women (53 percent to 41 percent), Hispanics (61 percent to 31 percent) and younger voters.
Meanwhile, Romney has a six-point lead over the president among men (51 percent to 45 percent) and continues to lead with seniors (55 percent to 42 percent). Seniors were 22 percent of Florida's electorate in 2008, and Republican John McCain won them by eight percentage points.
The race in Florida remains close among independents, a key voting group (48 percent for Romney, 44 percent for Mr. Obama, within the poll's margin of error).
So basically Romney is outperforming McCain with about a quarter of the electorate, the most politically attune segment to boot. Switch Florida to Red after the convention.
The polls are all showing the same thing: The vast majority of likely voters have already made up their minds and are not going to change no matter what happens. Obama continues to lead within the MOE as he has for months. So, it's up to a handful of less informed people to decide. Obama's campaign has a huge, huge infra-structure and get out the vote effort. The less likely and unlikely voters break heavily for Obama and, if he is successful in getting them to the polls, will give him the election.
The most important question to this group is "Who cares more about people like you?" Obama completely blows Romney away on this one. The trick, again, will be getting them motivated to vote what they believe.
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