So much for Obama leading in Ohio: New Ohio poll shows deadheat. (voters, campaign)

[EdwardA]

The closest Dispatch Poll in modern history shows the races for president and U.S. Senate in a dead heat in battleground Ohio.

For the record, Republican Mitt Romney holds a “lead” of 0.22 percentage point over President Barack Obama. That’s a mere 2 votes out of more than 1,730 cast for president in the mail poll.

By comparison, Sen. Sherrod Brown has a landslide going over GOP state Treasurer Josh Mandel with a margin of 0.87 point. That’s a whopping 15-ballot bulge.

The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 2.1 percentage points, so the takeaway is that the presidential matchup is tied at 45 percent and the Senate struggle at 44 percent among likely voters.

Romney will win Ohio.


Dispatch Poll results: Tight races put undecided voters in control | The Columbus Dispatch

[afoigrokerkok]

Originally Posted by EdwardA

Romney will win Ohio.

He absolutely can, but that doesn't mean it's certain he will. Ohio is going to be a tough state for both candidates. That being said, Obama has been pouring $$$$ into the state, airing ads demonizing Romney, and he is a few points ahead in some polls and not even ahead at all in some like this one. After the convention, Romney will be able to spend a lot more in the state than Obama, so I am optimistic. I never say things like "Romney will win" or "Romney will win such and such state" (when talking about battleground states) though because I'm afraid of jinxing it.

Moreover, it's going to be very difficult for Obama to win Ohio with 44% approval (though it is slightly higher according to some polling, it's still below what would typically be needed to win in the vast majority):

Thirteen States and D.C. Give Obama Majority Approval

Romney still really needs to get on top of things though to win Ohio and some of the other battleground states. I hope he and his campaign will get more serious after the convention.

Ohio is a state that looks difficult for both Obama and Romney. Polling tells us this. Conventional wisdom also tells us this - neither is particularly strong among working class whites. Romney is stronger among working class whites, but relatively weak for a Republican. Obama is even weaker than a typical Democrat among working class whites.

[TheFix]

A "mail-in" poll?!

LMAO!!

[nmnita]

Originally Posted by TheFix

A "mail-in" poll?!

LMAO!!

and maybe they are more accurate than a phone poll; why? because people who bother to mail something in, also bother to vote, many answer they phone but are too lazy to get out on election day...Have you thought about that?